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Resolution reportMonday, August 24, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,282 right467 wrong

All wallets: 82% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
18,611
No consensus
16,862

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 9,077 provider closure; 9,534 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Stade Rennais FC 1901?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Celta Fortuna vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Coritiba FBC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Hamburger SV (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Hamburger SV
    Won
    Hamburger SV
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxcursed121Last traded
      No-$57.57
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$19.91
    • A
      aapangLast traded
      Yes-$248.30

  • Will LDU Quito win on 2026-08-23?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$608.51
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$377.72
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes+$39.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Philadelphia: Cody Wong vs Katie Volynets

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Katie Volynets
    Won
    Katie Volynets
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC CSKA 1948 win on 2026-08-23?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,220.32
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$503.15
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$117.79

  • Will Deportivo San Pedro win on 2026-08-23?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      HerrieDavisLast traded
      No+$307.57
    • A
      2B9SLast traded
      Yes-$20.37
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      Yes-$1.76

  • ITF W35 Trieste Women: Alja Senica vs Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Alja Senica
    Won
    Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alja Senica-$491.53
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Alja Senica-$121.65
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Alja Senica-$128.50

  • SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,914
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,166.31
    • S
      edgewarehouseLast traded
      Over+$297.60

  • AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$228.23
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$132.79
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Under+$9.51

  • Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to Score

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    GenOne
    Won
    GenOne
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      GenOne+$237.97
    • S
      edgewarehouseLast traded
      GenOne+$13.60
    • A
      BookWarriorLast traded
      Leo Team+$30.39

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 23?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$0.56
    • A
      aapangLast traded
      Yes-$248.96
    • B
      AndreaPirloLast traded
      Yes-$155.65

  • Will Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 22?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$11.15
    • A
      aapangLast traded
      Yes-$247.96
    • A
      Pricey-MillionLast traded
      Yes-$44.71

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 23?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 24?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      No+$0.41
    • A
      LavinceyLast traded
      No+$11.49
    • B
      EKANALast traded
      Yes-$164.50

  • CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-08-23?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pisa SC vs. Calcio Padova: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Under+$175.60
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$102.36
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$4.33

  • Brøndby IF vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    ex-RUBY
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SizirivLast traded
      No+$123.05
    • S
      -JB-Last traded
      No+$19.25
    • A
      ColalaLast traded
      No+$2.68

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$13.17
    • A
      Pricey-MillionLast traded
      Yes+$252.40
    • A
      aapangLast traded
      Yes-$246.63

  • Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Chicago Sky
    Won
    Indiana Fever
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    Chicago Cubs
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Chicago Cubs+$152.90
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Seattle Mariners-$72.44
    • S
      heatwave0521Last traded
      Chicago Cubs+$70.83

  • Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Stade Rennais FC 1901?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    92%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston 2: Luis Britto vs Joshua Sheehy

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Joshua Sheehy
    Won
    Joshua Sheehy
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bushido Wildcats
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

16,790 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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