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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Exact Score: Everton FC 3 - 0 Crystal Palace FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Afford / Affordable / Affordability" during his rally with Darline Graham?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
    Won
    Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$314.61
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$200
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$137.27

  • Will Trump say "Phone" during his rally with Darline Graham?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      DREAMBIG.Last traded
      Yes+$17
    • A
      ViserysLast traded
      No-$394.58
    • A
      DerDonLast traded
      Yes+$98

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • O/U 1.5 Rounds

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 22?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Mika Petkovic vs Tim Handel

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tim Handel
    Won
    Tim Handel
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Mika Petkovic-$553.71
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Tim Handel+$177
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Mika Petkovic-$61.51

  • FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$137.75
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$22.12
    • S
      MiLiveLast traded
      Over+$4.97

  • Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Yes+$60.87
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes+$33.58
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes+$13.49

  • Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 1 - 2 Leeds United FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Spirit
    Won
    Spirit
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SV Eintracht 05 Trier vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Tucumán vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$48.63
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$15.97
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Yes+$54.70

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Olympique Lyonnais
    Won
    Olympique Lyonnais
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Olympique Lyonnais+$102.40
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Olympique Lyonnais+$25.92
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Olympique Lyonnais+$16.85

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 1. FC Saarbrücken vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color - Map 1 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    Team Nemesis
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 4AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$100.17
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$97.90
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$15.54

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Audax CS Italiano vs. CD Unión La Calera end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$125.95
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No-$53.86
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$4.25

  • Solana Up or Down - August 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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