Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 88% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 28,571
- No consensus
- 24,688
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPolkadot-FrogLast tradedDown+$288.95
- SBoneOhioLast tradedDown+$1.74
- Achairh4terLast tradedDown+$64.13
- Called
- Chinggis Warriors
- Won
- Vitalem Aerem
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedChinggis Warriors-$441.56
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedChinggis Warriors-$159.39
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedChinggis Warriors-$59.88
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$646.62
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo-$146.67
- SwapolLast tradedNo-$122.36
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$519.49
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$359.12
- SLilybaeumLast tradedYes-$56.73
- Called
- Kempen/Panova
- Won
- Bouzkova/Noskova
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedKempen/Panova-$369.12
- AGamblingAddict12345Last tradedKempen/Panova-$649.99
- ANotJumpLast tradedBouzkova/Noskova+$16.25
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbalthazarLast tradedYes-$154.80
- AHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$56.38
- AplainfolderLast tradedNo-$26.64
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$476.81
- SsentrioLast tradedYes-$55.31
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo+$11.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on August 21?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$688.68
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo-$279.52
- STokorLast tradedNo+$42
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$252.61
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$50.41
- AGamblingAddict12345Last tradedNo+$70.41
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCypyaLast tradedYes+$539.50
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$479.55
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$302.17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 22?
No consensus- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Asailor82Last tradedNo-$349.84
- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedNo-$315.51
- Aopopv3Last tradedYes+$24.71
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$656.15
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$6.70
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$2.18
- Called
- Norwich City FC
- Won
- Millwall FC
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNorwich City FC-$437.51
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNorwich City FC-$153.09
- S38791873984189Last tradedNorwich City FC-$51.16
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SsentrioLast tradedUnder-$380.24
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$185.88
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$105
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$3,761.86
- Storta.techLast tradedUnder-$2,881.78
- SEn111006Last tradedUnder-$203.69
- Called
- Valentina Steiner
- Won
- Valentina Steiner
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedValentina Steiner+$964.58
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedJoelle Lilly Sophie Steur+$6.15
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedValentina Steiner+$52.47
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLonnieHawkinsLast tradedYes-$3,299.90
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$2,464.89
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYes-$453.16
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$1,740
- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedOver+$539.43
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$277
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$285.04
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$94.09
- Aus391Last tradedNo+$415.79
- Called
- Austria Lustenau
- Won
- Austria Lustenau
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedAustria Lustenau+$461.45
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedAustria Lustenau+$182.46
- SSnakeBallLast tradedAustria Lustenau+$71.06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 21?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 41%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 88%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$270
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$104.67
- ALaarsYLast tradedNo+$80
Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedUp+$489.45
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$18.26
- SPolkadot-FrogLast tradedUp+$13.14
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 21?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AfildoroLast tradedYes-$157.41
- Aneo7777Last tradedYes-$56.36
- BVitoCorleone777Last tradedYes-$537.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes-$1,773.83
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$1,000.26
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$731.47
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$558.03
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes+$541.55
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$343.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$506.73
- SalmachLast tradedUp-$34.48
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$33.82
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$319.53
- SgollazaLast tradedNo+$285.01
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$202.19
Fagiano Okayama vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5
No consensus- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$644.63
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$487.43
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$249.49
SV Zulte Waregem vs. SK Beveren: O/U 4.5
No consensus- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$74.24
- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedUnder+$57.46
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$3.06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 22?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes+$212.92
- S0xDB5Last tradedYes+$24.61
- Agt197Last tradedYes+$207.49
- Called
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Won
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedLos Angeles Dodgers+$461.63
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedPittsburgh Pirates-$143.48
- SRN1Last tradedPittsburgh Pirates-$114.40
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)
No consensus- Won
- Everton FC
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedEverton FC+$338.63
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedCrystal Palace FC-$264.60
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedEverton FC+$110.17
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$225.96
- S6kke1tLast tradedNo-$120.48
- Spauleta23Last tradedYes+$12.93
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedOver-$293.53
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder+$275.68
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$212.15
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$74.50
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$69.28
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$66.52
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$338.61
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$152.04
- ALaarsYLast tradedOver+$223.89
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 21?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$19.69
- Asailor82Last tradedNo+$289.64
- BBruised-SteppingstoneLast tradedYes-$53.99
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$116.36
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$99.90
- S38791873984189Last tradedYes+$4.85
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$215.53
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$93.13
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$46.85
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$486.76
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes-$199.27
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$159.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$315.58
- SgollazaLast tradedYes-$82.24
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo+$64.50
- Called
- Paula Cembranos
- Won
- Zoziya Kardava
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedPaula Cembranos+$171.59
- S38791873984189Last tradedPaula Cembranos-$9.91
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedPaula Cembranos-$83.65
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 22?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$8.88
- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedYes-$106.76
- ATunSahurLast tradedYes-$95.05
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$357.42
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$72.17
- ALSB1Last tradedOver+$27.37
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedUnder-$107.52
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$73.91
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$25.51
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver-$472.06
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$118
- SsentrioLast tradedUnder+$53.43
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 22?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- AOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo+$40.46
- Amildwindow27Last tradedNo+$31.14
- BForceful-PlayroomLast tradedYes-$312.23
Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$159.85
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$87.73
- SBoneOhioLast tradedDown+$16.29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 22?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 71%
24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 34,401 more positions across 3,079 markets on this day.