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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,264 right419 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
13,924

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Completed Match: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Arian Barbic vs Carlos Giraldi

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Carlos Giraldi
    Won
    Carlos Giraldi
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Carlos Giraldi+$5.71
    • B
      iesdLast traded
      Carlos Giraldi+$0.95
    • B
      MollykLast traded
      Carlos Giraldi+$0.57

  • Will Alan Grayson be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Málaga CF
    Won
    Club Atlético de Madrid
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Insiders Esport vs Nordic Valor (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Nordic Valor
    Won
    Nordic Valor
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: VIT.B (-1.5) vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Ici Japon Corp. Esport
    Won
    Ici Japon Corp. Esport
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Vitality.Bee-$77.63
    • S
      am100Last traded
      Ici Japon Corp. Esport+$29.44
    • B
      lmtscaptLast traded
      Ici Japon Corp. Esport+$41.98

  • Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 19?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Nijboer vs Compagnucci

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Compagnucci
    Won
    Compagnucci
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tigres FC vs. Envigado FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Marcus Carter be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$38.39
    • A
      samoel97Last traded
      Over+$1.59
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under-$35.40

  • Exact Score: ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1 - 3 NK Celje?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1 - 0 Sabah FK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$66.51
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$64.44
    • B
      lbtradingLast traded
      No+$5.40

  • CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Recoleta FC 1 - 3 CA Boca Juniors?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cleveland Guardians
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0 - 1 Sabah FK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$80.31
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$69.49
    • A
      JoanLuLast traded
      No+$7.99

  • ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Lea Boskovic vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lucija Ciric Bagaric
    Won
    Lucija Ciric Bagaric
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Completed Match: Timofei Derepasko vs Egor Shcherbakov

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$153.65
    • S
      spendingmoneyLast traded
      Under+$151.47
    • B
      lucasolicorLast traded
      Under+$0.10

  • ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Completed Match: Tiago Silva vs Rocco Piatti

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    Chicago Cubs
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Yes-$3.51
    • A
      nonkenny90Last traded
      Yes+$2.75
    • B
      FXCLast traded
      Yes+$1.96

  • New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,862 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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