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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
2,246 right749 wrong

All wallets: 84% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
23,869

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Gimcheon Sangmu FC
    Won
    Gimcheon Sangmu FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Gimcheon Sangmu FC+$89.11
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Gimcheon Sangmu FC+$12
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Gimcheon Sangmu FC+$42.24

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      Under+$14.06
    • A
      am100Last traded
      Over-$569.83
    • B
      lmtscaptLast traded
      Under+$413.92

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Lexington SC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 16?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fremantle Dockers vs. Adelaide Crows

    Right

    Sports

    Called
    Fremantle Dockers
    Won
    Fremantle Dockers
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      dv-pmLast traded
      Fremantle Dockers+$45.07
    • B
      dips.Last traded
      Fremantle Dockers+$57.89
    • B
      sweiseLast traded
      Fremantle Dockers+$28.67

  • Will Durban City FC 2024 vs. Richards Bay FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KS Cracovia Krakow vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$140.20
    • S
      gollazaLast traded
      Over+$10.85
    • A
      tiago1878Last traded
      Over+$0.85

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Chandler Smith win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Black's Tire 250 presented by BTS Rewards at Richmond Raceway?

    Wrong

    Sports

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Wieczysta Krakow (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    GKS Piast Gliwice
    Won
    GKS Piast Gliwice
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      User7429Last traded
      GKS Piast Gliwice+$8.02
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      GKS Piast Gliwice+$6.66
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      GKS Piast Gliwice+$110.81

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KRC Genk vs. KVC Westerlo: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Chicago Cubs-$415.76
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$358.40
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Chicago Cubs-$66

  • Set 1 Winner: Wang vs Vekic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Vekic
    Won
    Vekic
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Ipswich Town (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Union Berlin
    Won
    Ipswich Town
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Glasgow Rangers vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$106.89
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under-$221.69
    • B
      kiibLast traded
      Over-$7.55

  • San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Odense BK vs. AC Horsens: AC Horsens 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$159.28
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under-$375.21
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over+$96.92

  • Will Russia target Kyiv on August 16, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      RobbbLast traded
      Yes+$1.18
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      No+$116.81
    • B
      thoodrLast traded
      Yes+$0.76

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$73.29
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$0.03
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over-$43.62

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Karlsruher SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs eternal premium - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    eternal premium
    Won
    Phantom Academy
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Stefanini (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Bouzkova
    Won
    Bouzkova
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Connecticut Sun win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • O/U 2.5 Rounds

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      MidrunnerLast traded
      Over+$765.42
    • S
      roscoffLast traded
      Over+$146.74
    • A
      GeepaPLast traded
      Under-$800

  • Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Albacete Balompié
    Won
    Albacete Balompié
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Albacete Balompié+$45.58
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Albacete Balompié+$44.29
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Albacete Balompié+$22.11

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lommel SK vs. Royal Charleroi SC: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Wehda Saudi Club win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Kansas City Royals
    Won
    Kansas City Royals
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Kansas City Royals+$52.99
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Los Angeles Angels-$28.93
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Kansas City Royals+$87.41

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

23,730 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 24,335 more positions across 2,367 markets on this day.

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