Skip to content
Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
2,246 right749 wrong

All wallets: 84% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
23,869

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • CA Boca Juniors leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Blinkova vs Alexandrova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Blinkova
    Won
    Blinkova
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FK Karpaty Lviv (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi
    Won
    FK Karpaty Lviv
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-7.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Baltimore Orioles
    Won
    Baltimore Orioles
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$85.70
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$48.43
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under+$50.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: CA Sarmiento 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$357.89
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under-$1,000.60
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over+$460.85

  • Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Charlotte FC
    Won
    Charlotte FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Charlotte FC+$41.21
    • B
      kiwi.beanLast traded
      Columbus Crew-$225.53
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Charlotte FC+$3.99

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • O/U 3.5 Rounds

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      roscoffLast traded
      Over+$174.05
    • S
      MidrunnerLast traded
      Over+$4.74
    • A
      MEK9Last traded
      Over+$0.10

  • GAIS vs. Malmo FF: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$109.08
    • A
      SecondhandvinylLast traded
      Under+$70.19
    • B
      dips.Last traded
      Over-$1.19

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LA vs. KC: O/U 35.5

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Under+$152.21
    • A
      Pan9XLast traded
      Under+$24.01
    • B
      dips.Last traded
      Over-$352.62

  • ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Raphael Perot vs Lars Goran Verwerft

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Raphael Perot
    Won
    Raphael Perot
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Raphael Perot+$140.22
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Raphael Perot+$21.73
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Raphael Perot+$12.43

  • Genoa CFC vs. Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Nanjing City win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$88
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under-$81.90
    • B
      lIllIlllIlIlLast traded
      Over+$0.36

  • FC Lahti vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dylan Cease: Strikeouts O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bucheon FC 1995 leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BoomBoys
    Won
    BoomBoys
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      BoomBoys+$116.96
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      BoomBoys+$49.09
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      BoomBoys+$0.13

  • Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CA Chaco For Ever
    Won
    CA Chaco For Ever
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CA Chaco For Ever+$250.39
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy-$234.35
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      CA Chaco For Ever+$148.52

  • Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$118.21
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      No+$46.19
    • B
      chliuLast traded
      Yes-$0.52

  • Ujpest FC Budapest vs. MTK Budapest: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ljungskile SK vs. Osters IF end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Académico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara: Draw at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$97.75
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$58.34
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Yes-$196.72

  • Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Townsend (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Rybakina
    Won
    Rybakina
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • First Blood in Game 1?

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    T1
    Won
    Gen.G
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      T1-$99.44
    • A
      taemaxxLast traded
      T1-$54
    • B
      icellLast traded
      Gen.G+$2

  • Will Racing Louisville FC vs. Boston Legacy FC end in a draw?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$20.26
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Yes-$118.39
    • A
      funfactsLast traded
      Yes-$52.60

  • Exact Score: Feyenoord Rotterdam 3 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC vs. Birmingham Legion FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      foxchaserLast traded
      Over-$114.81
    • S
      matmorfoLast traded
      Over-$96.84
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$64.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Orlando City SC O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Newell's Old Boys 0 - 0 CD Riestra?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$200
    • A
      0x0770Last traded
      No+$1.01
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      No-$57.57

23,730 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 24,335 more positions across 2,367 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs