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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Mackenzie Dern win by KO or TKO?

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Jest55Last traded
      No+$23.85
    • A
      GeepaPLast traded
      Yes-$175
    • A
      BreakTheBankLast traded
      No+$85.67

  • CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 73°F or below on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      yen4uLast traded
      Yes+$11.73
    • A
      PaddyAlphaLast traded
      No-$233.19
    • A
      rewardbotsLast traded
      Yes+$30.67

  • Will Guayaquil City FC vs. Libertad Loja end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$58.02
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Up-$46.25
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down-$17.10

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Racing Club De Lens (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Racing Club De Lens
    Won
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Flamboyant-WarmingLast traded
      Paris Saint-Germain+$174.78
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Racing Club De Lens-$104.61
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Paris Saint-Germain+$85.44

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: RCD Mallorca 2 - 0 Real Valladolid CF?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Atlanta Braves
    Won
    Atlanta Braves
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Académico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Real Racing Club
    Won
    Real Racing Club
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes+$74.43
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$67
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$11.08

  • Brentford FC vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gollazaLast traded
      Over+$119.58
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$59.66
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      Under-$59.12

  • Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Esport Academy Copenhagen
    Won
    Esport Academy Copenhagen
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$40.18
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$37.10
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$25

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$63.50
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$45.23
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$40.81

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Torino FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$470.96
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$391.62
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$26.92

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Schalke 04 vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$354.62
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$333.75
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$24.78

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Athletics
    Won
    Athletics
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Roger Pascual Ferra vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Roger Pascual Ferra
    Won
    Roger Pascual Ferra
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Raufoss IL win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$166
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$101.58
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$19.06

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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