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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will ASC Oțelul Galați win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes-$474.32
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$94.11
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$19.99

  • Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Esport Academy Copenhagen
    Won
    Esport Academy Copenhagen
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Esport Academy Copenhagen+$168.60
    • S
      dabossrealmanLast traded
      Esport Academy Copenhagen+$76.21
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Esport Academy Copenhagen+$53.59

  • O/U 1.5 Rounds

    Wrong

    MMA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Won
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chelsea FC vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$208.52
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$182.46
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$110.97

  • Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$358.58
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$151.13
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$120.38

  • Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SBV Excelsior 2 - 1 PSV?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$340.97
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$62.93
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$50

  • Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wiz

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    KT Wiz
    Won
    KT Wiz
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$434.58
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$100.91
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$78.51

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,731.48
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,047.14
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$194.22

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • GKS Piast Gliwice vs. Wieczysta Krakow: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$138.35
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$10.61
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over+$2.92

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Athletics
    Won
    Athletics
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will KS Cracovia Krakow vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$355.46
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$185
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      No+$1.16

  • Club The Strongest leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 4.5 Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      XYZ7676Last traded
      Under-$365
    • B
      Solid-EffortLast traded
      Under-$324.16
    • B
      ZIMA5Last traded
      Over+$173.14

  • Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton: Alafia ayeni vs Zach Stephens

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alafia ayeni
    Won
    Alafia ayeni
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Racing Club De Lens 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    92%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$150.12
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$85.11
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$12.50

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$140.30
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$121.52
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Down-$56.59

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Oakland Roots SC vs. Monterey Bay FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$300.08
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$291.45
    • S
      jack.jrLast traded
      Yes+$209.76

  • Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tampa Bay Rowdies win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$97.15
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$36.30
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Down+$31.86

  • Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$81.62
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$77.51
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$63.86

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Limache win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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