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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5

    No consensus

    Baseball

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs. Standard Liege: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$206.43
    • S
      topogrupo1Last traded
      Over+$184.01
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Over+$71.51

  • Aalesunds FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$130.16
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$64.98
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up-$16.15

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$55.32
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$3.65
    • A
      smallreceiptLast traded
      No-$6.47

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$37.14
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$34.37
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Up+$21.56

  • Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$534.05
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Cincinnati Reds-$125.59
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Cincinnati Reds-$113.26

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Down-$85.72
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$68.67
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$33.39

  • Will Real Oviedo vs. Granada CF end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,050.93
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$712.98
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$622.09

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Orlando City SC
    Won
    Orlando City SC
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Randers FC vs. FC København end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$345
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$345
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$233.86

  • Beşiktaş JK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$109.18
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$82.69
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Over-$69.44

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Real Racing Club 2 - 3 Villarreal CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$34
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$25.55
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$14.90

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$160.41
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$131.65
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$64.81

  • Will Racing Louisville FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$93.27
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes-$29.13
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$4.72

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    Inner Circle Academy
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$833.63
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      ex-RUSTEC-$81
    • S
      DonkooLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$53.68

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Vojtech Mares

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
    Won
    Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi+$197.65
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi+$87.84
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Vojtech Mares-$39.25

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$23.36
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$21.32
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$5.98

  • Udinese Calcio vs. Calcio Padova: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$42.20
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$36.89
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$19.92

  • FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$0.15
    • A
      ShyGuy1Last traded
      Yes-$80.63
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No+$24.95

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    AA Argentinos Juniors
    Won
    CA River Plate
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton: Marcus Walters vs Matt Ponchet

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Marcus Walters
    Won
    Marcus Walters
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CLE vs. CHI: O/U 39.5

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BAPEHUKLast traded
      Under+$2,500
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$761.71
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Under+$85.83

  • Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    San Diego Padres
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      San Diego Padres-$7,026.91
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      Cleveland Guardians+$1,095.62
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Cleveland Guardians+$383.68

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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