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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Fight to Go the Distance?

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,114.74
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$795.24
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$387.83

  • Tottenham Hotspur vs. TSG Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Glasgow Rangers vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$646.99
    • S
      gollazaLast traded
      Over+$51.86
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over+$26.07

  • Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$1,182.21
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yes+$114.95
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$61.02

  • Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NIP
    Won
    NIP
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 16?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Burnley FC
    Won
    Burnley FC
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Burnley FC+$1,283.09
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Burnley FC+$550.12
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Burnley FC+$466.49

  • Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,768.80
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,015.32
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$404.93

  • Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Trace Esports
    Won
    Trace Esports
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    92%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Legacy
    Won
    Legacy
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Disguised
    Won
    Team Liquid
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Team Liquid+$1,851.42
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Disguised-$194.20
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Disguised-$61.35

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Las Vegas Aces
    Won
    Minnesota Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lommel SK vs. Royal Charleroi SC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Girona FC vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$760
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$745.55
    • S
      UlamTriXLast traded
      No-$52.54

  • Will Debreceni VSC win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$270
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$179.15
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$126.46

  • Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Won
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$21.39
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      Yes+$346.21
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      Yes+$60.43

  • Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Santa Cruz FC PE win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Lev Seidman

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ivan Marrero Curbelo
    Won
    Ivan Marrero Curbelo
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$104.22
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$64.41
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$38.25

  • Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Istanbulspor AS win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Astana win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$95.12
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No+$438.47
    • A
      2B9SLast traded
      No+$12.95

  • Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hellas Verona FC vs. Virtus Entella: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over+$497.44
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$153.04
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$120.90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 16?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$8.60
    • A
      ShyGuy1Last traded
      No-$105.03
    • B
      viksha11Last traded
      Yes+$351.19

  • CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$58.18
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$39
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$31.39

  • Genoa CFC vs. Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    All Gamers
    Won
    All Gamers
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Trace Esports-$77.95
    • S
      qwe258Last traded
      All Gamers+$0.54
    • A
      oheheLast traded
      All Gamers-$180.52

  • Will Team Resilience Win The International 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Franco Ribero

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Gerard Campana Lee
    Won
    Gerard Campana Lee
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Franco Ribero-$435.29
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Gerard Campana Lee+$158.68
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Gerard Campana Lee+$87.58

  • Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 8 and 10 million views on day 1?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,443.74
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$324.32
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$97.05

  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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