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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$743.71
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$294.70
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$247.96

  • CF Montréal vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$460.42
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$319.70
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes-$312.41

  • Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ENCE - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ENCE
    Won
    ENCE
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Burnley FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Leganés win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$2,144.82
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,018.52
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$401.47

  • Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs. Standard Liege: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Under-$6,584.32
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$2,589.26
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$2,366.32

  • Will Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$681.60
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$242.43
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes-$232.56

  • Will AD Tarma win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$801.81
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$661.29
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$404.34

  • Spread: Glasgow Rangers (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Glasgow Rangers
    Won
    Glasgow Rangers
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Glasgow Rangers+$10,408.05
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Glasgow Rangers+$184.84
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Glasgow Rangers+$106.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$36.23
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$25.17
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$10.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$45.80
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$44.95
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$18.63

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$69.95
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$52.23
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$11.09

  • Will Racing Club De Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$569.10
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$491.35
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$258.48

  • Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$52.89
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$47.41
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$18.35

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$85.34
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$67.76
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$49.63

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$50.81
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$30.69
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$30.13

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Andrew Fenty vs Hunter Heck

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Andrew Fenty
    Won
    Andrew Fenty
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Toronto FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    New England Revolution
    Won
    New England Revolution
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LonnieHawkinsLast traded
      New England Revolution-$2,258.66
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Toronto FC+$340.14
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      New England Revolution+$219.02

  • CF Monterrey vs. FC Juárez: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$361.50
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      Over+$212.79
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$83.92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$60.84
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$58.47
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$49.65

  • Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0 - 0 Levante UD?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    95%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$2,584.58
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$562.40
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$308.79

  • Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$2,297.54
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$257.99
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$169.40

  • Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$5,504.20
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,200.46
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$972.25

  • Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Chicago Sky
    Won
    Seattle Storm
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Louisville City FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Seongnam Ilhwa win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Manchester City
    Won
    Arsenal FC
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Manchester City-$2,281.96
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Manchester City-$603.93
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Arsenal FC+$334.67

  • Will Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ENCE vs WBT (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    ENCE
    Won
    WBT
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$1,171.74
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,050
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes+$352.66

  • CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In group C

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Nexus
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs. Standard Liege end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Malmo FF win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,056.32
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$622.68
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$619.79

  • Will Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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