Skip to content
Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Adrien Berrut vs Leo Raquillet

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Adrien Berrut
    Won
    Leo Raquillet
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$73.26
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$42.89
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$31.38

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$196.77
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$101.95
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Up-$50.09

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$131.90
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$50.29
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$28.37

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$132.79
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$61.23
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$60.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$57.08
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$49.44
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Up+$34.90

  • Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$1,872.39
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1,038.52
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$970.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Burgos CF win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Yes+$448.72
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$330.12
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$166.67

  • Sion: Noah Karma vs Kai Wehnelt

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kai Wehnelt
    Won
    Kai Wehnelt
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$68.85
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$49.23
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$37.57

  • Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Metro Bank One Day Cup: Middlesex vs Durham

    Wrong

    Cricket

    Called
    Durham
    Won
    Middlesex
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,978.30
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over+$1,429.21
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$794.46

  • Will CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Levante UD
    Won
    RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    LGD Gaming
    Won
    LGD Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      LGD Gaming+$499.69
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      LGD Gaming+$247.30
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Team Yandex-$144.06

  • Will Australia win?

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Stefan Horia Haita

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Stefan Horia Haita
    Won
    Sean Cuenin
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Stefan Horia Haita-$5,529.46
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Stefan Horia Haita-$2,839.44
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Stefan Horia Haita-$457.32

  • Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs. Standard Liege: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Under-$3,333.81
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      Over+$157.61
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$93.56

  • Will São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RAAL La Louviere vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes-$1,455.45
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$603.37
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$403.55

  • Will CF Montréal vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$556.92
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$177.35
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$99.28

  • Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$2,038.87
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes+$1,705.60
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$861.87

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    LGD Gaming
    Won
    LGD Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gr5qxLast traded
      LGD Gaming+$837.73
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      LGD Gaming+$384.01
    • S
      antecLast traded
      LGD Gaming+$220.77

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$747.47
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$429.65
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$404.96

  • Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$628.33
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$434.53
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      No+$180.76

  • Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over+$1,108.94
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$548.58
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over+$521.03

  • Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 173.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$647.01
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$212.85
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      Over+$52.38

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 34,871 more positions across 3,260 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs