Resolution reportWednesday, August 12, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
58%
1,685 right1,224 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 14,895
- No consensus
- 11,986
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,337 provider closure; 7,558 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Ground Zero
- Won
- Ground Zero
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedGround Zero+$1,543.87
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedGround Zero+$10.98
- AsentrioLast tradedGround Zero+$112.35
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$997.07
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver+$581.79
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$84.92
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Arussell110320Last tradedYes+$1,462.28
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes+$466.25
- AnoreasapaLast tradedYes+$4.65
- Called
- Ekaterina Yashina
- Won
- Ekaterina Yashina
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedEkaterina Yashina+$1,066.69
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedEkaterina Yashina+$34.67
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedEkaterina Yashina+$14.43
- Called
- cobblemon
- Won
- Grêmio Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedcobblemon-$619.97
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedcobblemon-$141.59
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedcobblemon-$128.72
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$0.83
- Aopopv.Last tradedYes+$356.19
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes+$76.52
- Called
- Absolved
- Won
- DMG Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedAbsolved-$317.16
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAbsolved-$101.14
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedAbsolved-$14.84
- Called
- Diogo Morais
- Won
- Rocco Piatti
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedDiogo Morais-$3,537.26
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedDiogo Morais-$142.32
- AWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedRocco Piatti+$1,272.61
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 50%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$369.87
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$305.18
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder+$320
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$457.47
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$18.60
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder-$27.25
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 78%
- Called
- Texas Rangers
- Won
- Texas Rangers
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedTexas Rangers+$560.74
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedLos Angeles Angels-$71.42
- SRN1Last tradedTexas Rangers+$62.95
- Called
- Sandra Samir
- Won
- Yelyzaveta Kotliar
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedSandra Samir-$1,173.47
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYelyzaveta Kotliar+$1,037.50
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYelyzaveta Kotliar+$786.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedOver+$13.56
- Aam100Last tradedOver+$695.54
- Aameisgoat11Last tradedUnder-$347.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo-$33.39
- Aopopv.Last tradedYes+$285.47
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes+$26.52
- Called
- MAGAZA
- Won
- MAGAZA
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbloodmasterLast tradedMAGAZA+$533.75
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedMAGAZA+$42.75
- AJAMJAMJAM4Last tradedMAGAZA+$73.60
- Called
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- Won
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedFSV Frankfurt 1899-$439.24
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedEintracht Frankfurt+$171.27
- SSnakeBallLast tradedEintracht Frankfurt+$2.29
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$338.72
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$330.64
- SspendingmoneyLast tradedUnder+$196.50
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo+$5.19
- AflawfenceLast tradedYes-$359.43
- Arussell110320Last tradedNo+$14.39
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedDown+$345.20
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$29.82
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$24.61
Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AInterestingUserLast tradedYes-$200.12
- AContentious-DinnerdateLast tradedNo+$157.08
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$58
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$188.02
- Aopopv.Last tradedNo+$32.60
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$0.40
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$68.38
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$4.96
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$2.15
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$82.76
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$35.37
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$11.57
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$67.92
- Sqwe258Last tradedNo+$0.65
- AInterestingUserLast tradedYes-$76.61
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedUp-$118.37
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$73.99
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$37.82
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedUp+$876.24
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$144
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$55.48
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$240.34
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$155.64
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$42.19
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$203.82
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$201.77
- SNordhavenCapLast tradedYes+$177.40
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYes+$178.29
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$112.32
- ALSB1Last tradedYes+$39.33
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 94%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$32.02
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$13.27
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$12.60
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedNo-$104.81
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$48.23
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes+$45.80
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedYes-$123.29
- AmerodLast tradedNo+$59.46
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$6.82
- Called
- Cleveland Guardians
- Won
- Cleveland Guardians
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedCleveland Guardians+$918.38
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedDetroit Tigers-$910.76
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDetroit Tigers-$584.23
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 38%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver-$771.42
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$348.14
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$25.41
- Called
- Anouk Koevermans
- Won
- Jodie Burrage
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedAnouk Koevermans-$127.39
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedAnouk Koevermans-$52.52
- A38791873984189Last tradedJodie Burrage+$233.70
- Called
- Weronika Ewald
- Won
- Weronika Ewald
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedSahaja Yamalapalli-$5,538.51
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedWeronika Ewald+$3,249.27
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedWeronika Ewald+$253.82
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$33.55
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$11.79
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$8.15
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedYes-$72.14
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes-$2.40
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.23
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$53.69
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$42.62
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$5.48
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$9.73
- ScurieLast tradedNo+$1.52
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$4.22
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$56.18
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$22.11
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$19.14
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$79.77
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$51.78
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$42.24
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$42.97
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$14.77
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedYes-$5.45
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ayen4uLast tradedNo+$137.07
- AFridayLast tradedYes-$120.11
- ANoSteinNoGateLast tradedYes-$81.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$55.10
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$33.26
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes-$23.26
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$53.13
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$25.09
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$23.55
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$64.72
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$41.23
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$31.35
11,798 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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