Resolution reportTuesday, August 4, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets' accuracy

Report saved 4h ago

62%

1,690 right1,057 wrong

The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved: 11,686
No consensus: 8,939

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,705 provider closure; 5,981 first observed.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right
Esports
Called
Over
Won
Over
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 01:10:43 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  Hugin-og-MuninLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Over+$1.34
- B
  cryingbabydicer87Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Over+$1.12
- B
  bozepomogiLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Over+$0.51
Exact Score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 3 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
78%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 23:10:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  GC-PLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$4
- S
  wapolLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$1.90
- B
  Hugin-og-MuninLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$2.94
Will Xtreme Gaming win the 2026 Games of the Future tournament
Wrong
Esports
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 18:10:22 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  glm404.fundLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$2.70
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
- B
  CorlysLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  No+$0.01
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 14:10:21 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ConfusedUngaBungaLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Yes-$2.50
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
- B
  8796b01a723066063eba805833778c276162eb9fLast traded 12 Sept 2026
  No+$0.06
Solana Up or Down - August 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 05:10:46 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Down-$9.20
- B
  OhioRiskManagementLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Up+$6.13
- B
  sixx7Last traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up+$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 12:10:22 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  glm404.fundLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$5.45
- B
  ConfusedUngaBungaLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$2.50
- B
  8796b01a723066063eba805833778c276162eb9fLast traded 12 Sept 2026
  No+$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 05:10:46 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  CorlysLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Yes-$4.68
- B
  sailor82Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$2.80
- B
  em...wellLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.10
Defensor Sporting vs. CA Cerro: O/U 1.5
Right
Soccer
Called
Over
Won
Over
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 11:11:40 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  LuckyLooLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Over+$14.01
- B
  swisstonyLast traded 26 Aug 2026
  Under-$12.16
- B
  alohaaLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Over+$0.06
Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
11%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 11:11:40 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Agile-SpacingLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Up-$49.86
- S
  std0Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Down+$14.61
- B
  aswfadq1555Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$37.16
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 08:10:22 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ConfusedUngaBungaLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Yes-$2.50
- B
  0x8A160Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.70
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.10
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 00:10:23 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  GodsChildSeeksFortureLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  No+$2.07
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.11
- B
  em...wellLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.08
ITF Southaven: Kristina Penickova vs Antonia Rivera
Wrong
Tennis
Called
Antonia Rivera
Won
Kristina Penickova
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 21:14:32 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  RN1Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Antonia Rivera-$6.79
- B
  HarryRitterLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Kristina Penickova+$8.50
- B
  0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986cwLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Kristina Penickova+$0.11
Solana Up or Down - August 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 05:10:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Up-$11.90
- B
  sixx7Last traded 6 Aug 2026
  Down+$20.47
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up-$6.95
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 07:10:57 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  terrordogchampionLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.77
- B
  MandelBetLast traded 13 Sept 2026
  No+$0.57
- B
  iliabouchouevLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.11
Solana Up or Down - August 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 05:10:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  sixx7Last traded 6 Aug 2026
  Down-$7.41
- B
  sssssschLast traded 23 Sept 2026
  Up+$3.72
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up+$2.37
Solana Up or Down - August 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 05:10:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Down+$10.90
- B
  Wordy-BiosphereLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up-$5.70
- B
  sixx7Last traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up-$4.13
Will Volen Dyulgerov win Titled Tuesday on August 4?
Right
Sports
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 20:10:23 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  normalOneLast traded 13 Sept 2026
  No+$1.05
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.10
- B
  HDGBLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.10
Solana Up or Down - August 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 18:10:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Agile-SpacingLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Down+$4.27
- B
  burnedout-croissantLast traded 5 Aug 2026
  Up-$9.24
- B
  plytrader4lifeLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Down+$3.96
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 16:10:37 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  GodsChildSeeksFortureLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  No+$0.95
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.11
- B
  em...wellLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$0.08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 00:10:23 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Admirable-TrustLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No$0
- B
  OmniStratLast traded 14 Sept 2026
  No+$0.90
- B
  em...wellLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.08
Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
78%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 18:10:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Up+$8.93
- S
  Agile-SpacingLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Up+$1.43
- B
  OhioRiskManagementLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Down-$9.57
XRP Up or Down - August 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
78%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 11:11:40 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Down-$11.90
- S
  Agile-SpacingLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Down-$1.03
- B
  plytrader4lifeLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up+$13.61
Solana Up or Down - August 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 05:10:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Down+$11.69
- B
  sixx7Last traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up-$8.62
- B
  Wordy-BiosphereLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up-$2.41
Will Vincent Keymer win Titled Tuesday on August 4?
Right
Sports
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 22:10:22 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  stevemasterLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.57
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.10
- B
  normalOneLast traded 13 Sept 2026
  No+$0.10
Exact Score: CA Huracán 3 - 3 CA Tucumán?
Wrong
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 02:29:01 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  swisstonyLast traded 26 Aug 2026
  No+$1.70
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.80
- B
  jacques-chiracLast traded 24 Aug 2026
  Yes-$0.37
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 28, 2026?
Right
AI
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 16:35:48 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  PMTraderAdamLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.34
- B
  James-TalaricoLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.07
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.02
Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 16:11:02 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  BonereaperLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Up-$12.48
- B
  Pessimistic-HarpLast traded 19 Aug 2026
  Down+$11.17
- B
  LePetitJambonLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.68
Solana Up or Down - August 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 05:10:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Down-$6.43
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up+$12.69
- B
  sixx7Last traded 6 Aug 2026
  Down-$5.89
Solana Up or Down - August 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 11:11:40 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  pppppppppo65Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Down+$0.88
- B
  plytrader4lifeLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up-$1.39
- B
  MilkSharkLast traded 12 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.14
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 07:10:57 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  PredictionYogiLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.27
- B
  daegothLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.17
- B
  em...wellLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.08
Solana Up or Down - August 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 18:10:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Down-$4.76
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up+$2.77
- B
  sixx7Last traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up+$1.63
Solana Up or Down - August 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 05:10:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Up+$1.44
- B
  OhioRiskManagementLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Down-$1.49
- B
  sixx7Last traded 6 Aug 2026
  Down-$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 Aug 2026, 04:10:23 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.26
- B
  glm404.fundLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.09
- B
  em...wellLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$0.08

8,803 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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