Resolution reportTuesday, August 4, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
61%
1,696 right1,066 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 11,639
- No consensus
- 8,877
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 5,658 provider closure; 5,981 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$71.03
- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$12.89
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$2.50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$141.52
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$15.43
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$2.82
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$34.48
- BCorlysLast tradedNo+$86.42
- Bneo7777Last tradedYes-$19.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedNo+$384.31
- AcatalanpathsLast tradedNo+$22.40
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$7.10
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$101.16
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$33.98
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$18.97
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$2.74
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$1.66
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$0.17
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 88%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$26.71
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$11.03
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$3.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedNo-$130.93
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$3.39
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedYes+$114.02
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$93.54
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$75
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$73.58
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$95.82
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$13.31
- Bsailor82Last tradedNo+$17.23
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$16.96
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$8.21
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$3.26
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$13.34
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$4.47
- BgghffLast tradedNo-$97.87
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$681.71
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$378.52
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$63.68
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedYes-$82.45
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$6.16
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo$0
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- Brocky42008Last tradedNo+$19
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo+$17.86
- BShyGuy1Last tradedNo+$17.54
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$5.26
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$0.73
- Apppppppppo65Last tradedDown+$0.90
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$37.78
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$9.92
- BCorlysLast tradedNo+$47.86
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- AbetterfasterstrongerLast tradedYes-$50
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$5.29
- BSpanish-PerspectiveLast tradedNo+$18.23
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$365.24
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$65.85
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$64.26
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$63.26
- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$22.99
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$3.58
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$39.99
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$22.13
- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$4.53
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo-$48.49
- SJest55Last tradedYes+$20.73
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedYes+$417.97
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$190.02
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$27.06
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$4.11
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmustbethewaterLast tradedYes-$4.26
- BCorlysLast tradedYes-$28.78
- BxiaoxiaocangyingLast tradedYes-$6.07
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$4
- BCorlysLast tradedYes-$40.29
- BJubilant-PhraseLast tradedNo+$16.88
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$5.23
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$2.25
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$1.11
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACaptainCoinflipLast tradedYes+$131.09
- BkongehundLast tradedNo-$237.74
- Bglm404.fundLast tradedYes+$89.75
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$4.79
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$4.78
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$3.64
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$2.09
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$8.08
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$1.85
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$36.61
- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$35.04
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$23.32
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedYes-$85.99
- Bqqqppp-l1Last tradedNo+$34.10
- BcleaningLadyLast tradedNo+$10.92
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$11.28
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$3.48
- BWordy-BiosphereLast tradedUp-$8.51
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$27.85
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$5.12
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedUp+$6.20
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- APredictionYogiLast tradedNo+$1.23
- BmeagainsttheworldLast tradedYes-$39.40
- Bchocolate123Last tradedNo+$20.22
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$46.08
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$10.56
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$1.72
Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$38.01
- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$10.39
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$5.84
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$7.50
- BJubilant-PhraseLast tradedNo+$33.90
- BCorlysLast tradedYes-$12.35
- Called
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Won
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedColorado Rockies-$93.96
- ScurieLast tradedTampa Bay Rays+$53.64
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedColorado Rockies-$53
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$237.11
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$20.58
- Stopogrupo1Last tradedNo+$12.69
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$27.83
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$25.77
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$11.61
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$4
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$3
- BCorlysLast tradedYes-$24.02
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedYes-$51.92
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$30.64
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo+$21.68
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$17.01
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$2.53
- Bsixx7Last tradedUp-$12.18
- Called
- The Bandits
- Won
- The Bandits
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedmCon esports-$283.56
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedThe Bandits+$110.47
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedThe Bandits+$19.70
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$5.51
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedYes-$72.61
- BJubilant-PhraseLast tradedNo+$20.95
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 64%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$74.95
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$43.01
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$23.71
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 90%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$6.79
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$5.07
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$2.01
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$34.77
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$12.19
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$12.02
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$1.70
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$0.17
- SNM-PLast tradedYes-$0.16
8,738 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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