Resolution reportThursday, July 30, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
65%
2,485 right1,328 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 16,083
- No consensus
- 12,270
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 6,315 provider closure; 9,768 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedNo-$251.17
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$16.06
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$0.58
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$844.22
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$463.90
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$187.54
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 4%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- STokorLast tradedYes+$89.94
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes+$69.72
- A0xDB5Last tradedYes+$57.83
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$61.03
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$5.60
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$1.35
- Called
- New York Yankees
- Won
- Chicago White Sox
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedChicago White Sox+$252.02
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedChicago White Sox+$222.23
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedChicago White Sox+$185.28
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$0.43
- BAndreaPirloLast tradedYes-$170.41
- BJubilant-PhraseLast tradedNo+$94.42
- Called
- Angela Fita Boluda
- Won
- Angela Fita Boluda
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedAngela Fita Boluda+$286.50
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedAngela Fita Boluda+$28.94
- SantecLast tradedAneta Laboutkova-$3.50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$11.36
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$0.91
- AohioismLast tradedUp+$21.08
- Called
- Ekaterina Maklakova
- Won
- Ingkar Dyussebay
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedIngkar Dyussebay+$75.91
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedEkaterina Maklakova-$28.67
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedEkaterina Maklakova-$28.27
- Called
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Won
- Texas Rangers
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTampa Bay Rays-$456.73
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedTexas Rangers+$316.18
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedTampa Bay Rays-$210.10
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYes-$54.45
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$23.64
- SRock.SanLast tradedNo+$0.67
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 29%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedNo+$80.10
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$25.78
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$10.09
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$38.76
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$3.64
- BgghffLast tradedYes+$190.49
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- Carolina Kuhl
- Won
- Carolina Kuhl
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedCarolina Kuhl+$1,684.46
- SRN1Last tradedValentina Ivanov-$91.29
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedValentina Ivanov-$61.96
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$76.36
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$24.94
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$10.53
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedYes-$15.74
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$3.23
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$2.47
- Called
- Houston Astros
- Won
- Houston Astros
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedLos Angeles Angels-$461.99
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedLos Angeles Angels-$236.49
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedHouston Astros+$221.28
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo+$0.02
- BsweetjLast tradedYes-$120.58
- BtroimLast tradedYes-$104.05
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$23.58
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$18.54
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$3
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$40.95
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$17.87
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$4.47
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$1,781.52
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$626.18
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$312.61
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$15.81
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$14.56
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$14.14
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$9.43
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$6.21
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$2.37
- Called
- Braden Shick
- Won
- Braden Shick
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedBraden Shick+$140.20
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBraden Shick+$132.58
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedAndres Andrade-$111.34
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$40.03
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$23.10
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$17.68
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$9.55
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes+$1.92
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes+$0.20
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$19.13
- Aopopv.Last tradedYes-$109.97
- AHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$20.77
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$78.59
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$21.14
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$8.76
- Called
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda
- Won
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedFK Velež Mostar-$2,000.13
- SNM-PLast tradedFC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda+$206.78
- SRN1Last tradedFC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda+$99.22
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$38.25
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$7.22
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$4.41
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$69.21
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$61.92
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$13
- Called
- Kiwoom Heroes
- Won
- LG Twins
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedKiwoom Heroes-$50.07
- ADimkov27Last tradedKiwoom Heroes-$143.02
- Aheatwave0521Last tradedLG Twins+$89.67
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedYes-$6.98
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$7.62
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$0.52
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$130.40
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$20.88
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$1.29
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo-$327.49
- AcoinfilippeLast tradedYes+$259.24
- Aftrxc64afnLast tradedNo-$199.29
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$11.88
- AAiBirdLast tradedNo+$131.18
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$4.79
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$31.48
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$16.39
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$9.78
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$49.41
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$13.13
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$2.78
- Called
- ex-RUSTEC
- Won
- ex-RUSTEC
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedWalczaki-$125.38
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedex-RUSTEC+$51.01
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedex-RUSTEC+$31.92
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$33.48
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$16.90
- BCorlysLast tradedYes-$23.14
- Called
- Colossal Gaming
- Won
- Colossal Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbloodmasterLast tradedColossal Gaming+$99.43
- SantecLast tradedColossal Gaming+$53.48
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedP11 Esports-$16.32
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$20.82
- Apppppppppo65Last tradedUp+$2.83
- AohioismLast tradedUp+$2.23
- Called
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Won
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTexas Rangers-$4,610.03
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedTampa Bay Rays+$4,389
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedTampa Bay Rays+$575.73
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$22.12
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$7.64
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$6.55
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$61.39
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$9.64
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$4.20
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 17%
12,062 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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