Resolution reportTuesday, July 21, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
64%
5,843 right3,321 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 28,766
- No consensus
- 19,602
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 4,713 provider closure; 24,053 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$61.07
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$8.78
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown-$1.13
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 48%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$151.40
- Aopopv.Last tradedYes-$56.24
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$8.60
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedNo-$57.61
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$3.59
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$0.16
- Called
- Minnesota Lynx
- Won
- Seattle Storm
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSeattle Storm+$1,921.14
- SFlipadelphiaLast tradedMinnesota Lynx-$1,849.49
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedMinnesota Lynx-$823.89
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$98.13
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$55.04
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$18.25
- Called
- Yasmine Kabbaj
- Won
- Mayar Sherif
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYasmine Kabbaj-$614.60
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedYasmine Kabbaj-$179.43
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedYasmine Kabbaj-$131.34
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$1,415.98
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$457.70
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$8.62
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$2,672.15
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$1,550.68
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$792.85
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$173.14
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$72.55
- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$29.73
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$8.46
- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$0.87
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$0.65
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDREAMBIG.Last tradedNo+$191.59
- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$77.40
- ANotTheSharpestToolLast tradedNo+$82.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 26%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- AgansinimenLast tradedUp+$5.50
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown-$1.22
- BRITB123Last tradedUp+$321.04
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedYes+$480.06
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$156.56
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedYes+$44.65
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$5.06
- AfiankeeLast tradedUp+$203.50
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp+$6.74
- Called
- HOTU
- Won
- fnatic
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedHOTU-$161.76
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedfnatic+$88.27
- AoneheadedtigerLast tradedHOTU-$390.98
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 90%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$6.08
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedUp+$4.97
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp+$1.39
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$203.13
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$12.66
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$11.26
- Called
- France
- Won
- France
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedFrance+$503.91
- SNooseracLast tradedFrance+$443.71
- Ashisan888888888888888888888888888Last tradedFrance+$260
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$287.75
- SwapolLast tradedUnder-$67.54
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$15.04
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$1,144.43
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$716.70
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$217.26
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$93.64
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$88.43
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$25.11
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 87%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$63.49
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$29.70
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$11.65
- Won
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- StradecraftLast tradedAntoine Ghibaudo-$46.12
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAntoine Ghibaudo-$38.01
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAlejo Sanchez Quilez+$19.47
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 86%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$115.73
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$40.94
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$22.74
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$328.79
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$18.32
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder-$302.16
- Called
- Geekay Esports
- Won
- Geekay Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedGeekay Esports+$5.49
- BSOERNLast tradedGeekay Esports+$373.10
- Bpengu-nLast tradedFnatic-$140.64
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$251.17
- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$58.30
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$18.65
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$3,244.35
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$1,810.65
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$493.83
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- AFair-TanLast tradedYes+$37.84
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$2.08
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$0.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$81.47
- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$3.11
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$1.77
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedYes+$91.17
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$14.27
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes+$1.25
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 5%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 29%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 5%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$101.93
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$20.67
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$8.31
- Called
- Johannus Monday
- Won
- Johannus Monday
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedJohannus Monday+$271.74
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedJohannus Monday+$18.46
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMatthew Summers-$15.74
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$351.71
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$7.07
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$5.39
- Called
- Gentle Mates
- Won
- Gentle Mates
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedGentle Mates+$519.77
- SDonkooLast traded3DMAX-$132.50
- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedGentle Mates+$98.97
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$93.22
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$72.78
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$28.30
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$28.64
- Aopopv.Last tradedNo+$17.73
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$4.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedYes+$117.07
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$3.88
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$3.59
- Called
- Lola Giza
- Won
- Lola Giza
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMaria Martinez Vaquero-$861.94
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLola Giza+$529.15
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedMaria Martinez Vaquero-$64.33
- Called
- CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Won
- CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- StrgparkingLast tradedBET-M 33-$379.99
- ABookWarriorLast tradedCYBERSHOKE Esports+$46.37
- Amadoka123Last tradedCYBERSHOKE Esports+$5.06
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$721.83
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$551.93
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$137.47
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$195.13
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$158.23
- SwapolLast tradedOver-$94.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 11%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$477.11
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$114.79
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$7.49
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes+$15.53
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$15.45
- AFair-TanLast tradedYes+$10.21
19,100 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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