Resolution reportTuesday, July 21, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
64%
5,843 right3,321 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 28,766
- No consensus
- 19,602
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 4,713 provider closure; 24,053 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedNo-$120.37
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$55.81
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes+$2.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$11.23
- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$10.18
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$6.60
- Called
- Maks Kasnikowski
- Won
- Maks Kasnikowski
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMaks Kasnikowski+$247.40
- StradecraftLast tradedMaks Kasnikowski+$57.88
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedMaks Kasnikowski+$23.17
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$52.02
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$18.07
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$5.70
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$2.67
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$0.21
- BgghffLast tradedNo+$22.63
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$36.54
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$16.09
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$8.58
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$4.91
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$3.31
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$2.13
- Called
- Coleman Wong
- Won
- Coleman Wong
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedSpencer Johnson-$573.59
- SGC-PLast tradedColeman Wong+$158.71
- SRN1Last tradedSpencer Johnson-$115.43
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$64.78
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$35.59
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$15.91
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$31.61
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$6.59
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$2.25
- Called
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz
- Won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 69%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$2,158.57
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$940
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$623.49
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 88%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$6,230.26
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo+$1,079.71
- SwapolLast tradedNo+$471.31
- Called
- Boston Celtics
- Won
- Boston Celtics
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 87%
Profitable wallets' positions- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedBoston Celtics+$4,438.59
- SwapolLast tradedBoston Celtics+$135.68
- SmishipolisLast tradedBoston Celtics+$24.04
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$5,646.67
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$1,039.30
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$477.34
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$904.93
- SwapolLast tradedUnder-$430.49
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$175.27
- Called
- Los Angeles Sparks
- Won
- Atlanta Dream
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAtlanta Dream+$1,434.77
- SwapolLast tradedLos Angeles Sparks-$491.52
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedLos Angeles Sparks-$16.73
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 95%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$2,236.87
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$882.24
- SwapolLast tradedUnder+$464.43
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$103.35
- SC03BLast tradedOver+$1.37
- AClumsy-EntryLast tradedUnder-$4,065.64
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlipadelphiaLast tradedNo-$3,602.05
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo-$2,125.30
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$517.89
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$3,396.73
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$412.15
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$59.41
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$1,805.57
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$665.66
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$119.61
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$1,787.76
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$538.61
- SGC-PLast tradedUnder-$380
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$252.68
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$168.70
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$87.43
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedOver-$2,462.66
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$1,445.12
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$564.41
- Called
- Minnesota Twins
- Won
- Minnesota Twins
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMinnesota Twins+$4,440.85
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedLos Angeles Angels-$1,599.70
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMinnesota Twins+$1,521.71
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo-$306.55
- AdenzeldumfriesLast tradedYes+$1,775.07
- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes+$421.42
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$886.41
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$316.51
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$126.46
- Called
- Facundo Mena
- Won
- Ivan Marrero
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedFacundo Mena-$1,916.90
- SRN1Last tradedFacundo Mena-$38.70
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedFacundo Mena-$35.66
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$450.27
- AfiankeeLast tradedDown+$256.43
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedUp-$83.26
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$760.89
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$581.58
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$117.33
Tunisia vs. Guinea
Wrong- Called
- Guinea
- Won
- Tunisia
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedGuinea-$1,552.17
- SmishipolisLast tradedGuinea-$396.41
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedGuinea-$58.25
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$1,292.73
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$290.51
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$149.88
- Called
- FK Vardar Skopje
- Won
- FK Vardar Skopje
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedFK Vardar Skopje+$589.13
- SRN1Last tradedFK Vardar Skopje+$233.43
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedFK Vardar Skopje+$203.96
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$14.34
- AalwayslatetothepartyLast tradedYes-$100.28
- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$72.29
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedUnder+$574.20
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$464.36
- SwapolLast tradedUnder+$37.64
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$14.34
- AbipbipbopLast tradedYes-$1.40
- BalohaaLast tradedYes-$600
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$252.70
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$57.63
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$39.55
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$94.82
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedUp+$162
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp+$1.85
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 75%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$55.37
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$5.02
- AfiankeeLast tradedUp+$768.16
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- Saenews2Last tradedNo-$196.34
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes+$125.20
- AdenzeldumfriesLast tradedYes+$91
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$447.69
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$86.78
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$8.98
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$36.83
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp+$9.08
- BRITB123Last tradedDown-$482.22
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$913.50
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$111.22
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$3.67
- Called
- Aoyama/Liang
- Won
- Aoyama/Liang
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedAoyama/Liang+$357.70
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedHsieh/Wang-$129.47
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedAoyama/Liang+$4.62
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$1,292.79
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$72.86
- SantecLast tradedNo+$6.20
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$151.68
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$89.04
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$23.19
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$251.62
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$87.14
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$20.40
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$85.23
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$37.86
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$15.74
19,100 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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