Resolution reportThursday, July 9, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
69%
5,038 right2,268 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 18,611
- No consensus
- 11,305
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 5,541 provider closure; 13,070 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$130.93
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$103.77
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$49.25
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo-$11.15
- Sqwe258Last tradedYes+$2.60
- AshovelingdiggingLast tradedNo-$1,557.98
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SpoorersobLast tradedUp-$298.01
- SjustdanceLast tradedDown+$242.49
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$211.90
- Called
- Galions
- Won
- Ici Japon Corp. Esport
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedIci Japon Corp. Esport+$9,211.93
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedIci Japon Corp. Esport+$8,625.05
- ShowtoplaydotaLast tradedGalions-$47.01
- Called
- Yulia Starodubtseva
- Won
- Yulia Starodubtseva
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYulia Starodubtseva+$23,683.41
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMcCartney Kessler-$4,542.60
- StradecraftLast tradedYulia Starodubtseva+$3,592.82
- Called
- KRÜ Esports
- Won
- KRÜ Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SxytestLast tradedKRÜ Esports+$2,238.21
- SminjiLast tradedKRÜ Esports+$2,125.70
- Swhite-rabbitLast tradedKRÜ Esports+$1,452.25
- Called
- Polina Kudermetova
- Won
- Polina Kudermetova
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAlina Charaeva-$8,442.12
- SRN1Last tradedPolina Kudermetova+$1,087.93
- STRCMLast tradedAlina Charaeva-$931.40
- Called
- ROSSMANN Centaurs
- Won
- ROSSMANN Centaurs
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedROSSMANN Centaurs+$8,909.07
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedEintracht Spandau-$6,604.41
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedEintracht Spandau-$1,133.12
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$5,690.68
- SJargsLast tradedUnder-$1,851.61
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedOver+$1,185.09
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$1,409.46
- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedUnder-$1,301.67
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder-$1,027
- Called
- B8
- Won
- B8
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedInner Circle Esports-$4,006.73
- SxytestLast tradedB8+$1,428.04
- Sblack-rabbitLast tradedB8+$1,017.34
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- Amelchior1248Last tradedNo+$28.25
- AbipbipbopLast tradedYes-$4.12
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedYes-$0.61
- Called
- Juan Manuel La Serna
- Won
- Juan Manuel La Serna
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedJuan Manuel La Serna+$6,618.06
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJuan Manuel La Serna+$3,347.68
- SAvocadosFromMexicoLast tradedFelipe Meligeni Alves-$2,696.38
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ssportmaster777Last tradedOver+$5,036.48
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$952.58
- ScurieLast tradedOver+$824.44
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$163.35
- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$70.06
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$23.11
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$1,282.49
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$598.06
- SquantbarbieLast tradedDown-$50.55
- Called
- Tomas Etcheverry
- Won
- Tommy Paul
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- StradecraftLast tradedTommy Paul+$650.74
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTomas Etcheverry-$291.49
- SRN1Last tradedTommy Paul+$116.40
- Called
- BIG
- Won
- BIG
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedG2 NORD-$204.99
- SnewwmanLast tradedBIG+$188.94
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedG2 NORD-$70.40
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$170.73
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$45.57
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$37.02
- Called
- Athletics
- Won
- Athletics
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ssportmaster777Last tradedAthletics+$34,504.95
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedAthletics+$4,873.63
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedAthletics+$1,049.55
- Called
- Marco Trungelliti
- Won
- Marco Trungelliti
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 89%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMarco Trungelliti+$6,607.79
- STRCMLast tradedMarco Trungelliti+$2,741.70
- StradecraftLast tradedMarco Trungelliti+$1,078.83
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$48,456.82
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$7,965.03
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYes-$440.41
- Called
- Hanne Vandewinkel
- Won
- Marie Bouzkova
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedHanne Vandewinkel-$15,073.79
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedHanne Vandewinkel-$3,259.98
- SGamblingOdysseyLast tradedMarie Bouzkova+$342.99
- Called
- Thunder
- Won
- Thunder
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedLakers-$8,040.86
- SRN1Last tradedThunder+$1,088.20
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedThunder+$991.59
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGamblingOdysseyLast tradedYes+$9,979.11
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$5,162.17
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$347.13
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$7,173.98
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedOver+$1,626.95
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$1,071.54
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$13,457.90
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$3,879.98
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$1,065.77
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SC03BLast tradedYes+$46.85
- AgobblewobbleLast tradedYes+$5,839.53
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes+$5,545.37
- Called
- Chicago White Sox
- Won
- Chicago White Sox
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedChicago White Sox+$12,097.13
- SwapolLast tradedChicago White Sox+$4,846.41
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedChicago White Sox+$1,152.99
- Called
- Vitality.Bee
- Won
- Vitality.Bee
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedZYB Esport-$248.12
- ShowtoplaydotaLast tradedVitality.Bee+$174.40
- SnewwmanLast tradedVitality.Bee+$93.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SrainbowliliesLast tradedNo+$129.36
- SwapolLast tradedNo+$2.70
- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedNo+$1.37
- Called
- Lakers
- Won
- Thunder
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedLakers-$3,181.49
- SRN1Last tradedThunder+$2,669.27
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLakers-$1,369.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedYes-$16.84
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$15.65
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$13.67
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$236.23
- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$55.40
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$22.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$893.95
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$107.54
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$87.41
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$92.06
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$24.39
- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedDown+$15.44
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$55.82
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$40.86
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$40.79
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$171.18
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$169.43
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$72.69
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$373.39
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$128.09
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$83.56
- Called
- BIG
- Won
- BIG
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedFaZe-$3,371.91
- AHarmonious-FogLast tradedBIG+$2,251.79
- AHard-WrongLast tradedBIG+$1,500
- Called
- 76ers
- Won
- Pacers
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedPacers+$1,298.54
- SRN1Last traded76ers-$1,102.32
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedPacers+$990.49
- Called
- Celtics
- Won
- Celtics
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedCeltics+$16,734.34
- SRN1Last tradedCeltics+$4,113.13
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedCeltics+$1,683.46
- Called
- Martin Krumich
- Won
- Felix Balshaw
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMartin Krumich-$33,549.07
- SRN1Last tradedMartin Krumich-$7,549.58
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMartin Krumich-$1,127.41
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 61%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedNo+$13,689.05
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$796.06
- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$231.88
- Called
- Nuggets
- Won
- Trail Blazers
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedTrail Blazers+$22,659.77
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedTrail Blazers+$12,272.01
- SSoarin22Last tradedNuggets-$9,895.47
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$2,917.82
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo-$2,705.28
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$798.94
- Called
- Chicago White Sox
- Won
- Chicago White Sox
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ssportmaster777Last tradedChicago White Sox+$6,167.16
- ScurieLast tradedToronto Blue Jays-$2,973.57
- STalvez10Last tradedChicago White Sox+$1,819.61
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$3,613.16
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$1,880.08
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$1,429.79
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedUnder+$8,742.73
- SS-WorksLast tradedUnder+$4,883.41
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$2,560.69
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$3,369.93
- SNooseracLast tradedNo+$2,900
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo+$204
10,832 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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