Resolution reportSunday, July 5, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
68%
5,733 right2,670 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 16,426
- No consensus
- 8,023
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 3,422 provider closure; 13,004 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$54.75
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$30.80
- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$27.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$75.81
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$46.86
- Akorda77Last tradedNo+$45.62
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$461.91
- APredictionYogiLast tradedYes-$83.25
- BOoookeyLast tradedYes-$97.78
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$87.81
- ACannaeLast tradedYes-$266.85
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedYes-$250
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$250.93
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedYes+$205.40
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo-$58.79
- Called
- Spirit
- Won
- Spirit
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedSpirit+$465.66
- SantecLast tradedThe Huns Esports-$135.62
- SRN1Last tradedSpirit+$2.81
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$29.85
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$11.15
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$5.16
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$100.93
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$47.50
- SRN1Last tradedYes-$22.36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$4.36
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$0.37
- AbaloneighLast tradedDown-$108.86
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedNo-$161.32
- SRN1Last tradedYes+$58.36
- AValiBBLast tradedYes+$487.04
- Called
- Facundo Acosta
- Won
- Facundo Acosta
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 61%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedFacundo Acosta+$321.92
- SRN1Last tradedFacundo Acosta+$95.72
- STRCMLast tradedFacundo Acosta+$13.68
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 71%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes+$5.85
- AFair-TanLast tradedYes+$238.74
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes+$82.08
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$462.13
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$5.28
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$4.20
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 55%
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sndb1Last tradedNo-$1,099.99
- SmishipolisLast tradedNo-$26.42
- AVGR22Last tradedYes+$792.28
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$78.09
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$16.75
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$8.14
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$7.27
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$21.37
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$16.15
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedNo+$20.63
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$10
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$1.75
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$467.46
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$221.54
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedOver+$195.58
- Called
- Ognjen Milic
- Won
- Fajing Sun
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOgnjen Milic-$20.11
- StradecraftLast tradedFajing Sun+$2.06
- STRCMLast tradedOgnjen Milic-$1.48
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$55.39
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$33.72
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedNo+$0.66
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 19%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$527.14
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedNo+$91.01
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$23.50
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ssportmaster777Last tradedOver+$733.85
- Sndb1Last tradedOver+$67.67
- A38791873984189Last tradedUnder-$52.06
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$21.36
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$12.59
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$9.83
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0xDB5Last tradedNo+$37.35
- AcoinfilippeLast tradedYes-$13.84
- Anonkenny90Last tradedNo+$5.68
- Called
- Jelena Ostapenko
- Won
- Jelena Ostapenko
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLucrezia Stefanini-$63.59
- SRN1Last tradedJelena Ostapenko+$29.59
- SRock.SanLast tradedJelena Ostapenko+$0.10
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAble-KielbasaLast tradedYes-$85.34
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$1.58
- Bdij1Last tradedYes-$38.32
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 44%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$163.20
- Akorda77Last tradedNo+$44.62
- AaHjCzLast tradedNo+$15.30
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$25
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$19.65
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$11.77
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$34.78
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$26.52
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$14.76
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo+$0.48
- Apuipui2486Last tradedYes-$38.60
- AprobabilityLast tradedYes-$3.47
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 30%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$19.11
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$96.08
- ABeneGesseritVoiceLast tradedNo+$52.50
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$21.83
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$5.71
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$50
- Called
- Liverpool FC
- Won
- Liverpool FC
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedLiverpool FC+$509.46
- SshoemanhereLast tradedLiverpool FC+$46.63
- SRN1Last tradedManchester United FC-$17.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedNo-$367.60
- SAvocadosFromMexicoLast tradedNo-$107.37
- Sqwe258Last tradedYes+$11.13
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$52.02
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$8.91
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$1.78
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$74.86
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$9.74
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$3.94
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$20.23
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$24.38
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp-$0.14
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedNo+$0.65
- AaHjCzLast tradedNo+$0.56
- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedNo+$0.55
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$78.34
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo+$7.53
- BVibeTraderLast tradedYes-$172.75
Will something else than the listed options occur in respect to Fed Chair confirmation and rates?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImJustKenLast tradedNo+$32.43
- A0xB16B00B5Last tradedNo+$28.22
- AwokerjoesleeperLast tradedNo+$11.99
- Called
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Won
- Houston Astros
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedHouston Astros+$1,801.69
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedHouston Astros+$800.91
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedHouston Astros+$668.04
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$1.53
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$1.87
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$1.61
- Called
- paiN Academy
- Won
- paiN Academy
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedpaiN Academy+$101.43
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedpaiN Academy+$77.90
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedpaiN Academy+$1.29
- Called
- Bienvenue Bolangi
- Won
- Skander Mansouri
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfortunekingLast tradedSkander Mansouri+$380.96
- SRN1Last tradedBienvenue Bolangi-$329.93
- StradecraftLast tradedBienvenue Bolangi-$89.94
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AWarriorPoohLast tradedYes-$1,824.06
- AOlcanLast tradedYes-$595.28
- ALadyLuck2Last tradedNo+$490.27
7,561 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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