Resolution reportTuesday, June 30, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
67%
925 right453 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,039
- No consensus
- 4,661
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 3,670 provider closure; 2,369 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGollumGekkoLast tradedNo-$186
- StjaLast tradedNo-$49.85
- AThe-JokerLast tradedNo-$625.34
- Called
- Grind Back
- Won
- Grind Back
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 5%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$6,505.88
- ScurieLast tradedOver+$5,706.25
- SshoemanhereLast tradedOver+$33.25
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRememberAmalekLast tradedNo+$46.09
- SImJustKenLast tradedNo+$38.26
- Apup1Last tradedNo+$96.31
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- AgejbrLast tradedNo+$753.97
- ATenebrus7Last tradedNo+$34
- B0x64c28c0EEf3514b4Last tradedYes-$127.75
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 91%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- AWagerWizardLast tradedOver-$69.47
- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedUnder+$0.65
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedUnder+$0.62
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SleegunnerLast tradedNo+$612.65
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$59.10
- Acry.eth2Last tradedYes-$22.90
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver+$13.58
- ACannaeLast tradedUnder-$236.71
- AblbblbLast tradedUnder-$9.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 86%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedNo+$226.63
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$45.72
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$23.62
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$22.41
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$3.23
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$1.91
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$42.84
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$33.57
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$17.55
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 14%
- Called
- 4ikibamboni
- Won
- THE VISION
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast traded4ikibamboni-$27.86
- AStraight-RecipientLast traded4ikibamboni-$75.53
- Azxcursed121Last traded4ikibamboni-$44.74
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$85.94
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$18.76
- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$10.22
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$68.97
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$42.37
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$13.23
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$5.84
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$3.04
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$1.81
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedNo-$64.24
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$27.70
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$19.34
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$94.10
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$30.28
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedUp+$7.77
- Called
- Diletta Cherubini
- Won
- Vera Zvonareva
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDiletta Cherubini-$52.80
- STRCMLast tradedDiletta Cherubini-$20.71
- StradecraftLast tradedDiletta Cherubini-$8.61
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$21.39
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$19.87
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$16.06
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$74.05
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$13.41
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$12.63
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$38.56
- AwokerjoesleeperLast tradedNo+$5.89
- AHourglassLast tradedNo+$2.34
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$13.44
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$8.33
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$7.09
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$18.46
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$15.50
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$6.99
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedOver+$315
- SGC-PLast tradedOver+$221.52
- BBlasdeLezo1492Last tradedUnder-$887.16
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$23.34
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$5.31
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedUp-$2.24
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$8.09
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$1.23
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown-$7.85
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$34.56
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$6.77
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$12.74
- Called
- Enterprise Esports
- Won
- Enterprise Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMandatory-$19.09
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedEnterprise Esports+$11.71
- SDonkooLast tradedEnterprise Esports+$6.75
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$10,028.93
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver-$1,892.12
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$922.91
- Called
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Won
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedToronto Blue Jays+$4,747.53
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedToronto Blue Jays+$1,713.92
- SRN1Last tradedToronto Blue Jays+$1,014.66
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$4,946.58
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$742.29
- SwapolLast tradedOver+$462
- Called
- Division One
- Won
- Azure Dragon Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedDivision One-$2,532.02
- SAnjunLast tradedDivision One-$1,257.82
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedDivision One-$134.49
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 37%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$494.48
- SshoemanhereLast tradedOver-$66.67
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$45
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedUnder-$1.78
- Ashisan888888888888888888888888888Last tradedUnder-$2,349.95
- AodsownerLast tradedUnder-$450
- Called
- Lotte Giants
- Won
- Lotte Giants
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLotte Giants+$139.62
- ADimkov27Last tradedSamsung Lions-$75.62
- Afatdog-012Last tradedLotte Giants+$51.55
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedYes+$165.04
- Saenews2Last tradedYes+$9.66
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes+$687.84
- Called
- Minnesota Twins
- Won
- Minnesota Twins
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMinnesota Twins+$318.18
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedMinnesota Twins+$129.13
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedLos Angeles Dodgers-$107.79
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AOptimus-Last tradedYes+$557.02
- AScottyNoooLast tradedYes+$21.97
- BGohstLast tradedNo-$69.89
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$252.02
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo+$169.83
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$133.29
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 41%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 89%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$84.78
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$78.51
- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$63.56
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
Right- Called
- Wild
- Won
- Wild
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedStars-$99.50
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedWild+$60.80
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedWild+$43.40
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$84.71
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$77.76
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$60.41
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 91%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$445.42
- SGC-PLast tradedUnder+$265.54
- SNM-PLast tradedUnder+$5.04
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$60
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$12.86
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$1.39
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATimeTravelerLast tradedNo+$208
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$26.93
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedYes-$9.26
4,602 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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