Resolution reportThursday, June 11, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
66%
323 right163 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,255
- No consensus
- 5,769
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 5,254 provider closure; 1,001 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$757.79
- Akl1vLast tradedNo+$1,922.54
- AiutwpfalLast tradedNo+$1,202.89
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$4,743.42
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$2,229.80
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder+$1,918.81
- Called
- KOLESIE
- Won
- KOLESIE
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedKOLESIE+$4,437.93
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedKOLESIE+$127.17
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedKOLESIE+$39.86
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$1,820.54
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$88.66
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$66.47
- Called
- Knicks
- Won
- Knicks
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedKnicks+$4,523.67
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSpurs-$3,406.67
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedKnicks+$1,152.49
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$149.12
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$95.53
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$77.19
- Called
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
- Won
- Marco Cecchinato
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAlvaro Guillen Meza-$5,067.35
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAlvaro Guillen Meza-$1,159.97
- SRN1Last tradedMarco Cecchinato+$1,157.83
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$281.18
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$18.17
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$13.05
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$739.43
- SwapolLast tradedNo+$46.20
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$30.01
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
Right- Called
- Knicks
- Won
- Knicks
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBreakTheBankLast tradedKnicks+$1,894.18
- ScurieLast tradedKnicks+$816.96
- SwapolLast tradedKnicks+$581.54
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$87.76
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$71.96
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$66.41
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$9,625.49
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$3,469.12
- SNooseracLast tradedUnder+$744.38
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$154.08
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$94.79
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$79.10
- Called
- Knicks
- Won
- Knicks
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedKnicks+$3,149.61
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSpurs-$1,970.46
- SNooseracLast tradedKnicks+$614.94
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$18,405.07
- SNooseracLast tradedOver-$8,160
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedOver-$4,156.96
- Called
- Knicks
- Won
- Knicks
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedKnicks+$45,881.46
- ScurieLast tradedKnicks+$2,516.19
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedKnicks+$940.01
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 81%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SJest55Last tradedYes+$13.12
- AperfectnostalgiaLast tradedYes+$1,511
- AQMG-CORELast tradedYes+$469.59
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$61.44
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$36.37
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$26.74
- Called
- Forsaken
- Won
- Team Heretics Academy
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedForsaken-$2,275.53
- SantecLast tradedForsaken-$245.85
- SAnjunLast tradedForsaken-$138.75
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$50.11
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$35.93
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$32.80
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$117.46
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$75.27
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$43.18
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder+$284.51
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$108.10
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$33
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$291.92
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder-$235.57
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$132.61
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$80.32
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$34.39
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$5.99
- Called
- BOMBA Team
- Won
- Anubis Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- StrgparkingLast tradedBOMBA Team-$340.93
- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedBOMBA Team-$245.89
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedBOMBA Team-$209.54
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$146.70
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$99.39
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$6.03
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$286.67
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$72.97
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$51.01
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 28
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$88.40
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$87.24
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$47.78
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$2,937.98
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$979.47
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo+$301.53
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$7,028.94
- ScurieLast tradedOver+$1,499.59
- SwapolLast tradedUnder-$365.40
- Called
- Johan Alexander Rodriguez
- Won
- Johan Alexander Rodriguez
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJohan Alexander Rodriguez+$6,141.64
- SRN1Last tradedEduardo Ribeiro-$2,533.19
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedJohan Alexander Rodriguez+$1,072.62
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$120.52
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$116.95
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$29.99
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$112.37
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$61.54
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$31.75
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$54.05
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$37.60
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$24.93
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$133.95
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$40.28
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$25.69
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$48.23
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$16.85
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$7.75
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$95.05
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$67.48
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$48.95
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$415.16
- AContentious-DinnerdateLast tradedNo+$666.24
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$173.01
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AgobblewobbleLast tradedNo-$2,206.57
- A5f5aLast tradedYes+$776.44
- AkingofcoinflipsLast tradedYes+$309.84
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$10,742.82
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$5,764.95
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$4,811.23
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedOver-$58,800.63
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$8,247.37
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$1,047.02
- Called
- Knicks
- Won
- Spurs
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedSpurs+$711.35
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedKnicks-$170.34
- SGC-PLast tradedKnicks-$151.32
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$35.81
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$9.68
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$7.50
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$3,766.52
- S02-Last tradedNo+$1,006.38
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$33.68
- Called
- Nuria Brancaccio
- Won
- Nuria Brancaccio
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- STRCMLast tradedTamara Zidansek-$1,822.66
- StradecraftLast tradedNuria Brancaccio+$1,286.06
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNuria Brancaccio+$984.07
- Called
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Won
- Miami Marlins
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMiami Marlins+$5,134.29
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMiami Marlins+$3,279.20
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedArizona Diamondbacks-$1,784.26
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$6,301.41
- SFlipadelphiaLast tradedOver-$2,649.68
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$1,203.51
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$80.58
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$40.27
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$28.99
- Called
- Detroit Tigers
- Won
- Minnesota Twins
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMinnesota Twins+$9,151.95
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDetroit Tigers-$3,578.02
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDetroit Tigers-$2,186.92
5,740 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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