Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 2,496
- No consensus
- 1,916
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 1,320 provider closure; 1,176 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Connecticut Huskies
- Won
- Connecticut Huskies
- Profitable wallets
- 126
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedConnecticut Huskies+$38,314
- SSeniorLaghettoLast tradedMichigan State Spartans-$7,395.84
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMichigan State Spartans-$5,816.66
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 116
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRegardedMoneyLast tradedYes-$29,740.46
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$2,304.71
- SswisstonyLast tradedNo+$2,170.73
- Called
- LGD Gaming
- Won
- LGD Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 107
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedLGD Gaming+$6,125.35
- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedThunderTalk Gaming-$3,639.94
- SgeiyecapixieLast tradedLGD Gaming+$844.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 106
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$476.48
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$435.77
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$65.94
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 98
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$1,166.02
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$694.68
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$415.12
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 94
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$460.19
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$120.76
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$100.98
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 93
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$435.48
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$101.81
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$80.90
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 93
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$123.08
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$100.49
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$95.17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 87
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$187.43
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$156.88
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$154.47
- Called
- Lakers
- Won
- Thunder
- Profitable wallets
- 86
- Confidence
- 23%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 86
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$171.21
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$155
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$153.38
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 85
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$510.89
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$132.74
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$130.13
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 84
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$1,166.52
- S0x0a2c53bd218c04da996cf96490e14-f3dfb9bc2Last tradedDown-$188
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$122.95
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 82
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$695.80
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$301.05
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$290.04
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 81
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$1,062.51
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$202.12
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$142.01
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 80
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$281.23
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$205.55
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$172.95
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 78
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$148.04
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$87.90
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$82.91
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 76
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$1,305.59
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$183.62
- S0x0a2c53bd218c04da996cf96490e14-f3dfb9bc2Last tradedDown-$138.47
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 75
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$246.85
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$28.04
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$19.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 75
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$225.32
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$87.73
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$84.80
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 74
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$635.70
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$377.20
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$342.77
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 74
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$322.10
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$260.85
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$186.56
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 74
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$233.21
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$129.55
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$34.02
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 74
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$765.47
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$441.68
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$144.73
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 74
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$124.74
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$122.12
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$96.15
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 73
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$118.31
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$102.77
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$79.37
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 71
- Confidence
- 12%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 71
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$107.87
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$100.70
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$50.88
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 71
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$515.51
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$158.92
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$83.60
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 71
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$409.85
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$123.23
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$81.44
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 70
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$291.52
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$47.30
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$42.58
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 70
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$420.43
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$191.70
- S0x0a2c53bd218c04da996cf96490e14-f3dfb9bc2Last tradedDown-$153.76
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 70
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$300.13
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$80.24
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$71.98
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 69
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$192.47
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$66.95
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$42.51
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 69
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$140.93
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$29.36
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$21.06
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 69
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$460.54
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$240.80
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$74.39
- Called
- Thunder
- Won
- Thunder
- Profitable wallets
- 67
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedThunder+$5,235.94
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedLakers-$4,887.06
- SswisstonyLast tradedThunder+$2,645.10
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 67
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$2,382.30
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$614.31
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$243.29
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 67
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$97.06
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$72.09
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$33.23
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 66
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$76.55
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$75.06
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$68.16
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 66
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$296.10
- SRock.SanLast tradedUp+$89.05
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$61.08
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 66
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$117.58
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$109.95
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$70.59
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 65
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SpoorersobLast tradedDown-$247.33
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$229.07
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$73.75
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 65
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$215.61
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$42.46
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$40.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 65
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$326.76
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$96.90
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$88.41
- Called
- Tomas Machac
- Won
- Tomas Machac
- Profitable wallets
- 64
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedTomas Machac+$18,082.58
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedTomas Machac+$7,183.08
- StradecraftLast tradedTomas Machac+$3,060.96
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 64
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRock.SanLast tradedUp+$70.11
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$53.49
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$31.47
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$403.82
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$214.25
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$152.85
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 62
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$256.90
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$176.89
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$61.51
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 62
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$157.26
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$26.78
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$15.90
1,877 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 9,767 more positions across 544 markets on this day.