Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 3,752
- No consensus
- 3,004
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 2,564 provider closure; 1,188 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$6.94
- BasidjasiodjaLast tradedDown-$4.36
- Baddictedtolosing2Last tradedDown-$0.62
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$4.81
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown-$16.99
- B976FLast tradedUp+$0.51
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$8.75
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$0.77
- B976FLast tradedUp+$0.55
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$7.34
- B0x50f7Last tradedUp+$1.29
- B976FLast tradedUp+$0.76
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$3.30
- BtruuuuuLast tradedUp-$4.56
- BdvasdkasodkLast tradedUp-$1.14
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown-$10.03
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$1.11
- B976FLast tradedUp+$0.51
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$7.27
- BLornaPredictsLast tradedYes-$0.50
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.39
- Called
- Carle
- Won
- Carle
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedCarle+$5.28
- ApelikLast tradedCarle+$0.89
- BwhynotchocolateLast tradedCarle+$1.80
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$7.26
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.32
- BLornaPredictsLast tradedYes-$0.22
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$5.93
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedUp-$2.03
- B976FLast tradedDown+$0.51
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$0.04
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedDown-$9.36
- B976FLast tradedUp+$2.02
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown-$1.22
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedDown-$6.19
- B976FLast tradedUp+$0.73
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.45
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$1
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.45
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.70
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$0.30
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BttrrysLast tradedUp+$5.15
- BShocked-AcetateLast tradedUp+$1.47
- BStylish-DownfallLast tradedDown-$0.84
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.45
- Bbigbang7Last tradedNo+$2.28
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$2
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$7.27
- BRoomserviceLast tradedNo+$2.02
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedNo+$0.60
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$1.80
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedUp-$6.54
- B976FLast tradedDown+$0.81
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$0.43
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$1.99
- B976FLast tradedDown+$0.81
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$9.13
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$5.39
- B976FLast tradedUp+$0.51
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$1.94
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$0.76
- B976FLast tradedUp+$0.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BLornaPredictsLast tradedNo-$3.14
- BMemeLoverOfficialLast tradedNo-$1
- BcrumblLast tradedYes+$0.97
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$1.56
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$0.03
- B976FLast tradedDown+$1.57
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$2.26
- B976FLast tradedDown-$6.27
- BShocked-AcetateLast tradedUp+$1.15
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$1.08
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$0.93
- B976FLast tradedUp+$0.63
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BStonktraderLast tradedNo+$1.51
- BOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$1.26
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.23
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedDown+$1.53
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedUp-$1.14
- BtruuuuuLast tradedDown+$2.07
- Called
- Under 2.5
- Won
- Under 2.5
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUnder 2.5+$0.18
- B0x0770Last tradedUnder 2.5+$1.48
- BwhynotchocolateLast tradedUnder 2.5+$0.49
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$1.11
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$0.64
- B0dx982z6Esv8ssddLast tradedUp+$2.62
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$125
- BAgropescaJacareLast tradedDown-$68.57
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedDown-$54.36
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- B0dx982z6Esv8ssddLast tradedDown+$0.81
- BGargantuan-Obligation-DancingLast tradedDown+$0.77
- B00x00x11Last tradedDown+$0.15
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$13.54
- BriceapplepieLast tradedDown+$11.36
- BAxiaSystemLast tradedDown+$0.60
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bshy-blue-rockLast tradedUp+$1.20
- BValet13Last tradedUp+$0.09
- BSharkasmLast tradedUp+$0.08
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$0.95
- BSharkozyLast tradedUp+$0.10
- BSharkVaderLast tradedUp+$0.08
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 27 - May 3 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- B64MGX75VLQLast tradedNo+$0.63
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.38
- BHomeAloneNopeLast tradedYes-$0.01
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo-$43.29
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedYes+$42.23
- BQQQDANLast tradedYes+$1.01
2,966 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 12,883 more positions across 701 markets on this day.