Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 3,752
- No consensus
- 3,004
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 2,564 provider closure; 1,188 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$59.78
- BWeird-PeakLast tradedDown-$18.57
- Bpurple-lamp-treeLast tradedDown-$13.51
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACoinTrickLast tradedYes+$17.63
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedNo-$8
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedYes+$6.77
- Called
- Travoman Team
- Won
- Travoman Team
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABookWarriorLast tradedTravoman Team+$72.82
- AMarquisDeMottLast tradedTravoman Team+$1.01
- BsosasterLast tradedTravoman Team+$2.22
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$50.96
- BelonmugLast tradedDown-$24.35
- BtruuuuuLast tradedUp+$1.83
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$82.90
- BWeird-PeakLast tradedUp+$13.60
- BValet13Last tradedUp+$3.19
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$9.76
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$2.85
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedDown-$48.34
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$53.64
- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$16.36
- BRoomserviceLast tradedNo+$2.91
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$7.07
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$18.40
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown+$5.46
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown-$18.04
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$0.88
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedDown-$30.39
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$12.65
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown+$29.37
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$1.13
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$44.77
- BAuxesisAxiasLast tradedNo+$3.85
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.50
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$2.87
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$7.31
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedUp+$1.29
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$3.65
- BaabbaabbLast tradedUp+$50.45
- Bhot-garbageLast tradedDown-$9.21
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$6.66
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$31.38
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$2.90
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$0.05
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedUp-$32.56
- B0x50f7Last tradedDown+$1.25
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$7.55
- BaabbaabbLast tradedUp-$51.15
- BohanismLast tradedDown+$17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$0.55
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown-$28.59
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown-$4.44
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$6.77
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$6.19
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedUp-$39.97
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$0.85
- Bhot-garbageLast tradedDown-$16.83
- Baddictedtolosing2Last tradedDown-$6.53
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$32.65
- BAuxesisAxiasLast tradedNo+$10.54
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.40
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$26.92
- BsolomiyLast tradedDown-$30.16
- BadelanLast tradedUp+$13.61
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$1.72
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$0.96
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedDown-$22.19
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$11.81
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedUp-$8.51
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$1.95
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$6.74
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$6.02
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$2.70
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BelonmugLast tradedDown-$8.66
- Bpurple-lamp-treeLast tradedDown-$7.09
- BtruuuuuLast tradedUp+$3.34
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown+$4.68
- BantsaslykuLast tradedDown+$5.26
- BGargantuan-Obligation-DancingLast tradedDown+$2.72
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$31.57
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$12.61
- Bqwerty654321qwertyLast tradedUp+$3.80
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACoinTrickLast tradedYes+$1.92
- BOraculumNobiusLast tradedYes+$4.81
- BLiuJeremyLast tradedYes+$3.93
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Alibratus1Last tradedNo+$7.22
- BLornaPredictsLast tradedNo+$3.30
- BStonktraderLast tradedNo+$2.65
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown-$0.09
- BStylish-DownfallLast tradedUp+$10.16
- BMilkSharkLast tradedUp+$1.01
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABertapotamousLast tradedNo+$2.50
- ADragontreeLast tradedNo+$0.19
- B0x61824002685454-836100846371Last tradedNo+$5.25
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$6.20
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$1.31
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedDown-$18.56
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BbaE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475Last tradedYes-$14.05
- BOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$3.78
- BhaerderLast tradedNo+$0.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$8.93
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$0.40
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.30
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$1.66
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedUp-$13.18
- B0x50f7Last tradedDown+$1.22
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$5
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$1.71
- B0dx982z6Esv8ssddLast tradedUp+$2.64
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$6.91
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$0.82
- B976FLast tradedDown+$1.76
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown-$18.51
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$10
- BriceapplepieLast tradedUp+$13.20
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$6.25
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$0.10
- Bp4g8Last tradedDown+$7.54
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.41
- Bvip68Last tradedNo+$0.65
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$0.65
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BWinnieTheDogLast tradedYes+$4
- BStonktraderLast tradedYes+$0.95
- BenderoneLast tradedYes+$0.85
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$66.59
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedYes-$62.94
- BScornful-ConductorLast tradedNo+$20.35
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Wrong- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AiamnotthedragonmanLast tradedOver-$24.41
- BOrca4uLast tradedUnder+$480.64
- BIamnobody.NobodyLast tradedOver-$467.45
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$2.97
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$1.59
- B0x50f7Last tradedDown-$1.46
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Afillit98Last tradedYes+$48.70
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes+$26
- BHumble-MonkLast tradedNo-$75.93
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$11.23
- BtruuuuuLast tradedDown-$6.68
- BMeridianColdViewLast tradedDown-$4.75
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo+$4.94
- Bbigbang7Last tradedNo+$9.72
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$6
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$1.08
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedDown-$6.51
- BSharkVaderLast tradedUp+$1.33
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.40
- Bbigbang7Last tradedNo+$3.66
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.70
2,966 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 12,883 more positions across 701 markets on this day.