Resolution reportFriday, May 15, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
68%
1,308 right610 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,736
- No consensus
- 4,818
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 4,978 provider closure; 1,758 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$219.94
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$186.02
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$74.20
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$218.56
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$21.32
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$7.66
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$347.62
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$22.60
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$19.67
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$46.32
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$37.57
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$26.44
- Called
- Gauthier Onclin
- Won
- Gauthier Onclin
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedGauthier Onclin+$2,014.23
- SBagwell306Last tradedMichael Mmoh-$1,685.50
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedGauthier Onclin+$930.43
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$122.26
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$37.86
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$24.08
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$117.23
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$75.59
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$61.32
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$480.48
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$134.58
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$53.10
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$65.57
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$58.85
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$30.03
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$378.59
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$15.35
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$10.28
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$202.46
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$178.83
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$40.96
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$203.43
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$160.45
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$113.31
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$57.41
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$37.50
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$35.50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$370.62
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$135.51
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$128.36
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$329.30
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$39.78
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$29
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$784.31
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$278.07
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$235.67
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$267.11
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$247.06
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$74.14
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$80.80
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$21.64
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$14.33
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$321.01
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$156.36
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$140.13
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$56.70
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$53.22
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$40.59
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$68.60
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$67.51
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$63.29
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$98.37
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$66.84
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$38.93
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$722.53
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$180.53
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$129.64
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$211.13
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$108.19
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$47.01
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$281.50
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$138.39
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$94.60
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$302.73
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$143.65
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$35.37
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$77.09
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$14.93
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$8.12
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$91.46
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$63.39
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$20.21
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$730.02
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$88.67
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$53.11
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SpaddaaLast tradedNo+$273.90
- StjaLast tradedYes-$170.85
- SGollumGekkoLast tradedNo+$36.72
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$939.81
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$163.41
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$110.46
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$181.89
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$61.86
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$57.21
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$625.30
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$101.24
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$64.05
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$306.19
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$186.11
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$69.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$234.74
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$66.76
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$30.29
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$53.58
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$27.19
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$16.70
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$189.17
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$36.73
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$16.27
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$1,532.97
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$194.30
- ScurieLast tradedUnder+$179.48
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$396.70
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$72.40
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$4.29
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$313.45
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$93.04
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$85.86
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$297.46
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$40.52
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$21.06
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$104.25
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$30.26
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$23.19
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$37.17
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$21.05
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$4.24
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$107.57
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$103.39
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$47.24
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedOver+$26,099.32
- SFlipadelphiaLast tradedOver+$1,410
- SBagwell306Last tradedUnder-$1,200
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$463.95
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$166.98
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$68.86
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$162.31
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$82.93
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$10.66
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$88.21
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$31.29
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$24.81
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$70.39
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$52.35
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$31.02
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$61.02
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$36.05
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$32.63
4,722 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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