Resolution reportFriday, May 15, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
68%
1,308 right610 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,736
- No consensus
- 4,818
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 4,978 provider closure; 1,758 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$31.13
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$26.75
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$5.44
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$45.23
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$6.89
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$2.48
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$22.35
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$15.62
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$14.58
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$48.83
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$30.17
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$21.42
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$19.03
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$13.41
- SSharky6999Last tradedDown+$2.99
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$62.12
- BaabbaabbLast tradedDown-$50
- Baswfadq1555Last tradedUp+$29.38
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$42.71
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$28.44
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$124.99
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$6.78
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$1.99
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$45.76
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$6.73
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$0.23
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$31.73
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$68.20
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$35.77
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$49.72
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$35.17
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$15.06
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$8.92
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$20.16
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$5.72
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown+$3.05
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$138.56
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$31.08
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$11.27
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$32.77
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$10.15
- BaabbaabbLast tradedUp-$51.20
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$82.68
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$18.29
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$8.06
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$0.26
- BIVY56Last tradedUp-$19.66
- BAgropescaJacareLast tradedDown+$10.48
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$18.63
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$6.10
- BNotaForecasterLast tradedNo+$90.36
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$27.39
- BfrozenriverLast tradedUp-$63.38
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$32.37
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$3,787.98
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver-$220.85
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$51.61
- Called
- UNO MILLE
- Won
- UNO MILLE
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedKeyd-$2,871.22
- SBagwell306Last tradedUNO MILLE+$152.10
- AForAndWithYouLast tradedKeyd-$492.20
- Called
- Independiente Medellín
- Won
- Águilas Doradas Rionegro
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedIndependiente Medellín-$220
- ACannaeLast tradedIndependiente Medellín-$79.22
- Bbaoying8888Last tradedIndependiente Medellín-$315.35
- Called
- Kansas City Royals
- Won
- Kansas City Royals
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 84%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedKansas City Royals+$974.33
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedKansas City Royals+$27.77
- SRN1Last tradedKansas City Royals+$2.22
- Called
- Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
- Won
- Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- Storta.techLast tradedLiaoning Flying Leopards-$345.80
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedShandong Hi-Speed Kirin+$265.04
- SRN1Last tradedLiaoning Flying Leopards-$145.37
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$101.85
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedOver+$96.36
- ACannaeLast tradedOver+$284.49
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$4.70
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedDown-$82.51
- AHcrystallashLast tradedDown-$68.38
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$283.21
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$68.82
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$17.11
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 88%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$18.06
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$250
- A4282439425493Last tradedUp+$1.01
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 80%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$1.76
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown-$250
- A38791873984189Last tradedDown-$81.06
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAnjunLast tradedYes+$214.73
- Sesports095Last tradedNo-$15.01
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo-$130
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedDown+$4.28
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$0.10
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$230.90
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$25
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$250
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$35.51
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown-$244.06
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedUp+$9.98
- BohanismLast tradedDown-$187.86
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$121.47
- SRN1Last tradedYes-$115.85
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$13.92
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$21.02
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$250
- BaabbaabbLast tradedDown+$50
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$31.06
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$12.06
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$0.34
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$145.28
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$38.41
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder-$284.92
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$2.44
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$250
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedUp-$12.19
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$17.02
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$250
- A38791873984189Last tradedUp-$88.89
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$27.07
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$22.86
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$19.59
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$21.48
- AWeatherstappenLast tradedNo-$19.22
- Aopopv.Last tradedYes+$0.36
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$13.97
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$4.86
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$250
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$65.99
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$15.75
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$14.77
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$7.08
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$5.16
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$250
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$41.17
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$17.80
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$11.38
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfortunekingLast tradedNo+$77.66
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$378.90
- AWagerWizardLast tradedYes-$42.39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$18.56
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$13.93
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$11.78
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$25
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedDown+$3.27
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$244.57
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$7.59
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$2.40
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$237.66
4,722 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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