Resolution reportFriday, May 15, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
68%
1,308 right610 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,736
- No consensus
- 4,818
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 4,978 provider closure; 1,758 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$14.19
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$0.24
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$64.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$1,699.89
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$135.08
- ACar-cLast tradedYes-$697.68
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$24.82
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$21.66
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$12.32
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 23%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$67.89
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$27.02
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$21.02
- Called
- Boston Red Sox
- Won
- Houston Astros
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlipadelphiaLast tradedBoston Red Sox-$1,337.97
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedHouston Astros+$501.26
- SRN1Last tradedBoston Red Sox-$494.94
- Called
- CA Tucumán
- Won
- CA Tucumán
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Slukibazdonauki754Last tradedCA River Plate-$3,939.93
- Bbaoying8888Last tradedCA Tucumán+$612.50
- Bqqi6699Last tradedCA Tucumán+$350
Counter-Strike: Brute vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group C
Right- Called
- Brute
- Won
- Brute
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedBrute+$1,014.76
- SantecLast tradedFC Famalicão Esports-$13.47
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedBrute+$7.97
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$36.71
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$29.26
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$21.87
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$31.88
- BpedrobuenoLast tradedYes-$1,028.35
- BVibeTraderLast tradedNo+$228.99
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 86%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$102.19
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$51.24
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$30.49
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$72.63
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$56.59
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$25
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$60.98
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$37.33
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$2.90
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$428.60
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$392.20
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes+$195.64
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$30.39
- BheimaokuaipaoLast tradedYes+$255.57
- BAmano-HinaLast tradedNo-$167.73
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$28.90
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$27.67
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$14.60
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$25
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$14.65
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$10.48
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 72%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$65.81
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$14.79
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$12.63
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$100.77
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$44.96
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$44.65
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$108.76
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$3.17
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$23.77
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$14.97
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$11.35
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$6.97
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$10.56
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$6.43
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$5.82
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 48%
- Called
- Imperial
- Won
- Imperial
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SshoemanhereLast tradedImperial+$123.64
- AoneheadedtigerLast tradedImperial+$522.99
- A239393828Last tradedImperial+$367.39
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$107.27
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$27.27
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$19.53
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$39.23
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$13.78
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$4.59
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$40.41
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$14.72
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$4.29
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$95.17
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$21.03
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$1.21
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$37.54
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$24.52
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUp+$19.29
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 25%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- AXAE12ArchangelLast tradedNo-$180.44
- A0xB16B00B5Last tradedYes+$172.69
- ANoSteinNoGateLast tradedYes+$8.88
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$48.50
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$16.40
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$13.35
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$25.46
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$16.05
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$11.83
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$89.34
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$17.82
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$9.87
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$19.03
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$18.34
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$11.24
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$34.41
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$4.04
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$1.22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$26.57
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$26.01
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$12.57
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$72.18
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$17.56
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$12.88
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$23.44
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$8.24
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$4.10
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$6,465.04
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$26.82
- ACannaeLast tradedNo-$351.03
- Called
- Younglings
- Won
- Younglings
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMAJIX ESPORTS-$792.54
- AeanvanezygvLast tradedYounglings+$448.80
- AkISMET1337Last tradedYounglings+$184.95
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- Afunplayer-Last tradedYes+$390.67
- ACaishenbaoyouwo888Last tradedNo-$318.41
- Anonkenny90Last tradedNo-$108.66
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$235.03
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$53.11
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$51.75
- Called
- New York Mets
- Won
- New York Mets
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLos Angeles Angels-$178.77
- SRN1Last tradedNew York Mets+$14.35
- Afatdog-012Last tradedNew York Mets+$296.55
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$355.54
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$345.56
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$92.86
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUnder+$375.33
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$87.91
- AsentrioLast tradedUnder+$29.87
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$252.50
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$8.52
- AWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown+$88.15
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$136.57
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$62.39
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$54.54
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$296.19
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$25
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$21.18
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$7.87
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$6.49
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$250
4,722 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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