Resolution reportTuesday, May 12, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
68%
1,349 right631 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,315
- No consensus
- 4,335
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 4,697 provider closure; 1,618 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$9.30
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$8.40
- AbaloneighLast tradedUp-$113.98
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sqwe258Last tradedYes-$611.87
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$814.01
- Acry.eth2Last tradedYes-$60.90
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5
No consensus- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjtwyslljyLast tradedUnder+$3,621.09
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$157.05
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUnder+$37.11
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$47.36
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$11.88
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$9.82
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$96.46
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$58.05
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$48.03
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$381.43
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$114.98
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$65.91
- Called
- Trace Esports
- Won
- Dragon Ranger Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedDragon Ranger Gaming+$38.99
- SantecLast tradedTrace Esports-$19.42
- AWiretransferxyzLast tradedTrace Esports-$6,465.63
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$497.46
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$153.09
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$85.86
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$37.13
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$25.10
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$16.06
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$15.61
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$13.32
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$8.21
- Called
- Yellow Submarine
- Won
- Yellow Submarine
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSisyphus-Last tradedYellow Submarine+$3,062.13
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedYellow Submarine+$98.27
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYellow Submarine+$21.81
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$13,500.45
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$5,243.24
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedOver+$149.57
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo+$2.27
- AkingofcoinflipsLast tradedYes-$161.18
- Amelchior1248Last tradedNo+$130.88
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sqwe258Last tradedYes-$612.99
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$710.27
- Acry.eth2Last tradedYes-$44.46
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$463.34
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$39.59
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$9.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$309
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$179.42
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$36.29
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$60.80
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$12.66
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$10.39
- Called
- Team Secret Whales
- Won
- Team Secret Whales
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjohnbasterLast tradedCTBC Flying Oyster-$1,062.44
- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedTeam Secret Whales+$783.16
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedCTBC Flying Oyster-$624.22
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$28.58
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$21.74
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$16.29
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$25.50
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$24.14
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$13.72
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$945.45
- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$675.27
- AAnonymousUsernameLast tradedYes-$518.35
- Called
- Eintracht Spandau
- Won
- Eintracht Spandau
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SnewwmanLast tradedEintracht Spandau+$20.66
- A239393828Last tradedEintracht Spandau+$961.67
- AoneheadedtigerLast tradedG2 NORD-$388.55
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$104.13
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$27.45
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$7
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$232.97
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$69.82
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$67.17
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- Acry.eth2Last tradedNo+$1,195.24
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$536.26
- Anicoco89Last tradedNo+$237.42
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$189.95
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$81.68
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$10.30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$28.76
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$26.95
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$14.22
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$223.80
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$114.89
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$31.14
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$33.24
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$17.70
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$16.73
- Called
- ALGO Esports
- Won
- ESC Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedALGO Esports-$316.85
- ABlack-FacilityLast tradedALGO Esports-$148.97
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedALGO Esports-$104.52
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$2,460.61
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$74.40
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$68.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$442.58
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$105.84
- SNM-PLast tradedYes-$80.75
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$77.14
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$16.97
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$15.41
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$40.38
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUp+$12.48
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$11.54
- Called
- REKONIX
- Won
- REKONIX
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 47%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$324.98
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYes-$201.37
- SRN1Last tradedYes-$90.97
- Called
- Monte
- Won
- Monte
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedThe Huns Esports-$1,010.83
- SDonkooLast tradedMonte+$200.23
- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedMonte+$140.82
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$133.72
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$44.32
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$16.65
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$945.31
- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$675.27
- AAnonymousUsernameLast tradedYes-$345.48
- Called
- magic
- Won
- magic
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedmagic+$2,316.97
- SDonkooLast tradedmagic+$741.22
- SshoemanhereLast tradedmagic+$118.35
- Called
- Team Resilience
- Won
- Vici Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedTeam Resilience-$102.04
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedTeam Resilience-$73.07
- SRock.SanLast tradedVici Gaming+$9.91
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$231.28
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$60.81
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$42.33
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$68.27
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$64.09
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$39.47
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$25.31
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$18.52
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$16.08
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$227.83
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$85.36
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$57.40
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$302.29
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$29.09
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$21.60
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$24.59
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$19.21
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$17.48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$28.53
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$6.27
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$3.37
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$43.06
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$16.16
- SRock.SanLast tradedUp+$13.24
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$14.29
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$10.58
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$4.50
4,220 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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