Resolution reportMonday, May 11, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
70%
637 right268 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 4,666
- No consensus
- 3,761
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 3,009 provider closure; 1,657 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$744.73
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$269.83
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$68.82
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$421.71
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$5.39
- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$4.55
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$313.95
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$15.17
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$4.43
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$79.53
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$21.60
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$19.51
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$31.37
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$23.18
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$7.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$31.21
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$0.81
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$0.63
- Called
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
- Won
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo+$20,178.62
- SRN1Last tradedNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo+$4,553.12
- SBagwell306Last tradedNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo+$3,877.76
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 61%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$249.50
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$18.50
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$16.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$208.22
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$15.77
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$1.95
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$88.03
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$42.72
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$41.89
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$99.20
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$72.69
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$60.60
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$403.97
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$16.22
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$3.03
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$278.39
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$67.35
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$38.63
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$55.09
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$25.42
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$6.37
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$80.31
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$12.93
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$11.12
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$854.57
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$73.08
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$57.34
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedDown+$315.42
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$232.73
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$158.06
- Called
- Rex Regum Qeon
- Won
- Rex Regum Qeon
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedRex Regum Qeon+$66.59
- SshoemanhereLast tradedDetonatioN FocusMe-$54.74
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedRex Regum Qeon+$23.14
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$255.32
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$204.14
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$124.96
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$272.23
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$41.09
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$33.01
- Called
- Tamara Korpatsch
- Won
- Daria Kasatkina
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedTamara Korpatsch-$5,698.86
- STRCMLast tradedTamara Korpatsch-$2,705.80
- SMalfunction.Last tradedDaria Kasatkina+$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$119.30
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$25.69
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$11.04
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$43.50
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$34.47
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$29.81
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$329.20
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$19.59
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$15.50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 34
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$64.13
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$28.33
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$11.89
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$1,476.41
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$205.04
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$44.27
- Called
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
- Won
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjohnbasterLast tradedFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming+$824.80
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedDetonatioN FocusMe-$308.33
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming+$94.89
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$276.76
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$16.32
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$13.37
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$128.85
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$91.03
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$35.35
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$496.60
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$81.68
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$79.86
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$172.59
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$54.34
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$40.17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$90.92
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$10.48
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$6.11
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$370.30
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$23.90
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$5.20
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$114.28
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$12.48
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$6.13
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$262.26
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$40.14
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$37.24
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$99.83
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$46.86
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$40.68
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$105.97
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$24.58
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$22.34
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 13%
- Called
- Power Rangers
- Won
- Power Rangers
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedInner Circle-$3,369.56
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedPower Rangers+$154.95
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedInner Circle-$102.60
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$131.16
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$121.41
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$39.08
- Called
- Juan Carlos Prado
- Won
- Hugo Dellien
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedJuan Carlos Prado-$14,151.03
- STRCMLast tradedJuan Carlos Prado-$586.34
- SBagwell306Last tradedJuan Carlos Prado-$374.67
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$77.52
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$23.59
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$9.81
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$38.69
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$28.57
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$7.19
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 28
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$726.63
- SSnowLover7Last tradedNo+$122.14
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$71.85
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 28
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$187.18
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$75.16
- AbaloneighLast tradedDown-$230.87
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 28
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$68.50
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$65.67
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$24.48
- Called
- Chun-Hsin Tseng
- Won
- Chun-Hsin Tseng
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedChun-Hsin Tseng+$511.73
- STRCMLast tradedChun-Hsin Tseng+$299.98
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedMackenzie McDonald-$117.05
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$324.51
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$208.23
- SRN1Last tradedYes-$29.66
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$235.35
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$134.05
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$44.64
- Called
- 1win
- Won
- 1win
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast traded1win+$309.21
- Swhite-rabbitLast traded1win+$154.93
- Sblack-rabbitLast traded1win+$126.41
3,724 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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