Resolution reportMonday, May 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets' accuracy

Report saved 18h ago

70%

637 right268 wrong

The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved: 4,666
No consensus: 3,761

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 3,009 provider closure; 1,657 first observed.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)
Right
Baseball
Called
Texas Rangers
Won
Texas Rangers
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 01:40:10 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  qwe258Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Texas Rangers+$3.45
- A
  ZhangMuZhi..Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Texas Rangers+$9.56
- A
  OrdonLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Texas Rangers+$0.09
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
No consensus
Crypto
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 11 May 2026, 21:00:17 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down-$13.81
- B
  SharkozyLast traded 12 Sept 2026
  Up+$0.64
- B
  SharkVaderLast traded 13 Sept 2026
  Up+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 04:15:35 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$12.66
- B
  otterrLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1.67
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 04:15:35 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  korda77Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$5.32
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$7.13
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.16
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 16:48:41 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$1.01
- B
  pspspsps5Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$13.01
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$0.51
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 13:02:47 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$7.24
- B
  Weird-PeakLast traded 25 Jun 2026
  Up+$14.65
- B
  ohanismLast traded 10 Jul 2026
  Down-$10.80
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 11 May 2026, 23:20:16 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$7.50
- B
  pspspsps5Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$7.60
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$4.13
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 11 May 2026, 20:45:21 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  0x50f7Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$9.38
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$4.24
- B
  pspspsps5Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$2.67
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
43%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 00:51:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$8.41
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$3.57
- B
  shy-blue-rockLast traded 24 Jun 2026
  Up-$5.54
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 03:49:10 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  OnlyLuckNoBrain2Last traded 25 Sept 2026
  No+$6.86
- B
  BrightSpringFoxLast traded 17 Jun 2026
  No+$3.04
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 02:15:47 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$9.01
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.20
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.15
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 00:51:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  purple-lamp-treeLast traded 24 Jun 2026
  Up+$10.49
- B
  Weird-PeakLast traded 25 Jun 2026
  Down-$4.91
- B
  shy-blue-rockLast traded 24 Jun 2026
  Up+$3.57
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 03:10:08 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  bhuumiLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  No+$14.13
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$6
- B
  Dreamer3bcbcd6cLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  No+$0.41
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 05:15:49 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$5.81
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$1.32
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$0.51
Will Harris English win the 2026 Truist Championship?
Right
Golf
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 11 May 2026, 00:48:48 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  mishipolisLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$3.20
- S
  betdgeLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$2.19
- S
  AvocadosFromMexicoLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$2.05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 08:16:11 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$7.13
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.60
- B
  luckee2026Last traded 22 Aug 2026
  No+$0.46
Bitcoin above 81,600 on May 11, 10AM ET?
Right
Crypto
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 11 May 2026, 14:55:32 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  Lively-AuthenticityLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$21.25
- B
  Shallow-ActorLast traded 15 Sept 2026
  No+$14
- B
  0xa11a…64a2Last traded 13 Aug 2026
  No+$0.08
Juvan vs. Uchijima: Match O/U 22.5
Right
Tennis
Called
Over
Won
Over
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 11 May 2026, 19:55:17 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  pelikLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over+$0.06
- B
  LeLynxMalynxLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Under-$54.41
- B
  clownlyLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Over+$48.18
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 06:22:22 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$3.30
- A
  Miserly-PoundLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.83
- B
  SharkVaderLast traded 13 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.82
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 11 May 2026, 20:30:17 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$4.50
- B
  SharkozyLast traded 12 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.64
- B
  SharkasmLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 06:24:08 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$8.51
- B
  otterrLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$3.54
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.60
Francesco Castaldo: Anytime Goalscorer
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 14:07:42 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  zaedaLast traded 26 Sept 2026
  No+$4.49
- B
  goonmaster24Last traded 29 Sept 2026
  No+$3.95
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$3.02
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 05:59:21 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$1.68
- B
  pspspsps5Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.96
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.52
Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
Right
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 17:25:31 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Yes+$0.26
- B
  swisstonyLast traded 26 Aug 2026
  No-$5.80
- B
  whynotchocolateLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.48
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 03:02:26 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.45
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$1.92
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$1.46
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 00:51:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$4.10
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$2.82
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up-$2.12
Bitcoin above 80,800 on May 11, 12AM ET?
Right
Crypto
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 11 May 2026, 06:48:41 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  qwe258Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.10
- A
  ProudIsraeliLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  No+$1
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$2.72
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs against All authority - Map 2 Winner
Wrong
Esports
Called
HyperSpirit
Won
against All authority
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 11:31:26 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  RandomGameBetLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  HyperSpirit-$55.78
- B
  DefenceOfTheAssetsLast traded 30 Jun 2026
  against All authority+$58.50
- B
  aka-baka-tiki-takaLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  against All authority+$1
Bitcoin above 80,400 on May 11, 10AM ET?
Right
Crypto
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 11 May 2026, 14:54:34 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  Lively-AuthenticityLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No-$9.88
- B
  Shallow-ActorLast traded 15 Sept 2026
  Yes+$7.04
- B
  0xa11a…64a2Last traded 13 Aug 2026
  Yes+$0.07
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
43%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 08:02:30 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down-$1.75
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Up+$1.88
- B
  Weird-PeakLast traded 25 Jun 2026
  Down-$2.89
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand - Most Sixes New Zealand Winner
Right
Cricket
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 06:33:36 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ChristopherMoneymakerLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$1.66
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
- B
  5273853Last traded 23 Sept 2026
  No+$0.17
Kasatkina vs. Korpatsch: Match O/U 22.5
Right
Tennis
Called
Over
Won
Over
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 06:33:36 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Hard-IroncladLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Over+$0.97
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Over+$0.24
- B
  daniilkenLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Over+$0.06
Ethereum above 2,305 on May 11, 2PM ET?
Right
Crypto
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
Provider closure: 11 May 2026, 19:41:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  qwe258Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.10
- A
  ProudIsraeliLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes+$0.09
- B
  Lively-AuthenticityLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No-$1.44
T20 BIFA Cup, Women: Thunder Xi vs Kokrajhar - Most Sixes Thunder Xi Winner
Right
Cricket
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 05:05:48 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ChristopherMoneymakerLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$1.34
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
- B
  5273853Last traded 23 Sept 2026
  No+$0.10
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 05:47:59 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$10.36
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Up+$2.60
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Down-$14.20
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 07:39:19 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$6.16
- B
  pspspsps5Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$8.27
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.13
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Oman - Team Top Batter Oman Winner
Right
Cricket
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 06:08:43 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ChristopherMoneymakerLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$1.02
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
- B
  5273853Last traded 23 Sept 2026
  No+$0.13
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
60%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 15:03:13 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$1.39
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.01
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$0.49
Ethereum above 2,315 on May 11, 8AM ET?
Right
Crypto
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 12:41:47 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  qwe258Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.10
- B
  Lively-AuthenticityLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No-$0.86
- B
  SkyLove7Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.15
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 2?
Wrong
Culture
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 15:26:31 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.39
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.22
- B
  5273853Last traded 23 Sept 2026
  No+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 6?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 18:26:30 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  otterrLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1.30
- B
  qqqppp-l1Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$1
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.65
Will Darmstadt 98 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 11 May 2026, 21:43:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  VGR22Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$1.66
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$3.60
- B
  nbabLast traded 12 Aug 2026
  No+$1.84

3,724 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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