Resolution reportSunday, May 10, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets' accuracy

Report saved 9h ago

71%

296 right119 wrong

The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved: 4,504
No consensus: 4,089

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 3,732 provider closure; 772 first observed.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

Exact Score: FC Groningen 1 - 1 NEC?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 10 May 2026, 20:27:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$7.70
- B
  whynotchocolateLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$12.90
- B
  daniilkenLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$0.17
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 16:01:57 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$7.05
- B
  ohanismLast traded 10 Jul 2026
  Down+$24.12
- B
  IVY56Last traded 19 Sept 2026
  Up-$11.97
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 06:18:14 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$0.35
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up-$27.28
- B
  Weird-PeakLast traded 25 Jun 2026
  Down+$8.72
Exact Score: FC Groningen 1 - 0 NEC?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 10 May 2026, 20:25:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$5.46
- B
  whynotchocolateLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$11.87
- B
  daniilkenLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$0.17
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Russia" this week?
Right
Culture
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
20%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 07:11:20 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  AiBirdLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$63.45
- A
  PlatykurticLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$47.31
- B
  0x61824002685454-836100846371Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$0.20
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 07:34:13 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$15.45
- B
  ohanismLast traded 10 Jul 2026
  Down+$2.20
- B
  IVY56Last traded 19 Sept 2026
  Up-$1.50
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
14%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 17:44:17 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$6.45
- A
  pppppppppo65Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.59
- B
  ohanismLast traded 10 Jul 2026
  Down+$19.66
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 13°C or below on April 21?
No consensus
Weather
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 14:56:44 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No$0
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$14
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on May 10?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 10 May 2026, 07:28:29 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  Novus0rdoSeclorumLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$8.09
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$5.45
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 2?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 07:55:56 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$7.17
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$6
- B
  wcbfanLast traded 3 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.11
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 07:55:56 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$12.73
- B
  Halfa-BetaLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.79
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 18:36:17 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$9.04
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$4
- B
  otterrLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1.68
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 05:24:56 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$1.95
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Up+$5.71
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Down-$18.49
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 06:28:33 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$9.06
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.50
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.25
Exact Score: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC 3 - 2 Shandong Taishan FC?
Wrong
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 10 May 2026, 15:28:23 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$6.28
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$3.73
- B
  Hugin-og-MuninLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.36
Will Trace Crowe win the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic?
Right
Golf
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
60%
Provider closure: 10 May 2026, 20:59:29 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  LexingtonLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$5.18
- A
  melchior1248Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$4.17
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.10
Exact Score: AS Nancy-Lorraine 1 - 3 USL Dunkerque?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
20%
Provider closure: 10 May 2026, 00:44:56 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$16.62
- A
  MyBettingFutureLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$3.78
- B
  whynotchocolateLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$3.90
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 18:14:21 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$7.20
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.50
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 20:26:12 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$5.38
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$2
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5
Right
Baseball
Called
Over
Won
Over
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
11%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 07:35:59 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Under-$122.58
- S
  HomeRunHazardLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Over+$115.13
- B
  EmethodLast traded 27 Sept 2026
  Over+$0.87
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 19:06:11 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Up+$1.13
- B
  pspspsps5Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$3.50
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$1.52
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 11°C on April 21?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 07:52:19 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$4.97
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.31
- B
  OmaJaneLast traded 15 Aug 2026
  No+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on May 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 07:25:14 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$5.42
- B
  Halfa-BetaLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.75
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.05
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 07:57:24 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Down-$13.03
- B
  ohanismLast traded 10 Jul 2026
  Up+$7.44
- B
  qwerty654321qwertyLast traded 29 Jul 2026
  Up+$1.50
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
43%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 15:15:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down-$1.90
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Up+$6
- B
  yarrOsfec2Last traded 4 Aug 2026
  Down-$0.31
Will Munster win?
Right
Sports
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 10 May 2026, 02:45:48 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  RoryKeane96Last traded 7 Sept 2026
  Yes-$135.79
- B
  oestradiolLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  No+$86.29
- B
  Kuntro2Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$52.99
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 05:34:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  0x7ebf…4403Last traded 23 Jul 2026
  Down+$1.03
- B
  SharkozyLast traded 12 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.88
- B
  SharkVaderLast traded 13 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.82
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 05:04:39 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$0.34
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$1.76
- B
  yarrOsfec2Last traded 4 Aug 2026
  Down+$0.63
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
60%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 04:43:06 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  asdaefefLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Down+$30.22
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$19.30
- A
  LondonBridgeLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Up-$52.07
Will Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 Truist Championship?
Right
Golf
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
Provider closure: 10 May 2026, 21:17:13 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  AvocadosFromMexicoLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.97
- A
  DavidShekelLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$1.72
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 06:46:12 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Up+$0.79
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Up+$0.27
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$0.51
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 07:03:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.68
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$0.51
- B
  SharkozyLast traded 12 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.10
Will Zach Bauchou win the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic?
Wrong
Golf
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 10 May 2026, 22:22:09 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  melchior1248Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.83
- B
  TimSheHeLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$1.94
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.10
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
No consensus
Crypto
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 05:04:39 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down-$1.49
- B
  0x480e…c7dbLast traded 24 Jun 2026
  Up+$1
- B
  0x3b58…eabdLast traded 23 Jul 2026
  Up+$1
Will Gen.G Esports win VCT 2026: Pacific League Stage 1?
Wrong
Esports
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 10 May 2026, 06:05:47 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  govalorantLast traded 23 Jul 2026
  No+$0.39
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.19
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.10
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic?
Right
Golf
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
14%
Provider closure: 10 May 2026, 22:27:04 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  AvocadosFromMexicoLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.97
- A
  melchior1248Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.83
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.10
Will Justin Lower win the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic?
Right
Golf
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
14%
Provider closure: 10 May 2026, 21:44:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  AvocadosFromMexicoLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.97
- A
  melchior1248Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.83
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.10

4,067 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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