Resolution reportSunday, May 10, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
71%
296 right119 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 4,504
- No consensus
- 4,089
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 3,732 provider closure; 772 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$6.25
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$2.78
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$0.52
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$19.89
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp-$63.39
- BFatSlagLast tradedDown+$104.26
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$49.66
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$20.08
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$6.16
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedNo+$0.61
- AElated-LentilLast tradedNo+$0.30
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedNo+$0.17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$85.45
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$17.56
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$14.78
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$7.56
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown-$43.78
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$2.13
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$5,093.57
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$15.13
- ACannaeLast tradedUnder-$50.96
- Called
- Michael Mmoh
- Won
- Michael Mmoh
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMichael Mmoh+$1,009.22
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedTaro Daniel-$169.35
- StradecraftLast tradedMichael Mmoh+$156.02
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$2,154.22
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedOver-$228.50
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$3.35
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AtphhhLast tradedNo+$5.10
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$2.20
- Asmolbrain0xLast tradedNo+$0.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$479.62
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNo+$1.13
- Aus391Last tradedNo+$844.83
- Called
- Doosan Bears
- Won
- Doosan Bears
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBagwell306Last tradedDoosan Bears+$248.60
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDoosan Bears+$60.27
- ADimkov27Last tradedDoosan Bears+$36.44
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$20.35
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$15.53
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown+$96.21
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bvip68Last tradedNo+$232.92
- BImpeccable-RoomLast tradedYes-$189.38
- BOoookeyLast tradedYes-$153.34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$73.62
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$28.34
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$14.18
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$49.18
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$23.25
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$11.26
- Called
- Samsung Lions
- Won
- Samsung Lions
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedSamsung Lions+$72.58
- SRock.SanLast tradedSamsung Lions+$2.70
- ADimkov27Last tradedHanwha Eagles-$100.79
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$16.44
- BohanismLast tradedDown+$84.30
- BIVY56Last tradedUp-$32.12
- Called
- Chicago White Sox
- Won
- Chicago White Sox
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedChicago White Sox+$500.65
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedChicago White Sox+$427.08
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedKansas City Royals-$199.08
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$1,090.05
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$544.15
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$2.45
- Called
- Lotte Giants
- Won
- Lotte Giants
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedSSG Landers-$512.27
- SBagwell306Last tradedSSG Landers-$168.61
- SRock.SanLast tradedLotte Giants+$2.70
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$7.93
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$5.15
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$7.75
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown-$66.17
- BIVY56Last tradedDown-$89.99
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$55
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$7.48
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$0.92
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$37.22
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$13.26
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$8.35
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$4.75
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$2.73
- BohanismLast tradedDown-$62.34
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$97.44
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$31.23
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$7.07
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$179.40
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$17.97
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$12.70
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$4.94
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$8.03
- AElated-LentilLast tradedDown+$3.53
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$20.35
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$5.42
- AbaloneighLast tradedUp-$280.50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$17.88
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$2.33
- Bshy-blue-rockLast tradedUp-$107.41
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$30.66
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$25.27
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$13.40
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$2.44
- BtrillionsclubLast tradedUp+$81.82
- Bplytrader4lifeLast tradedUp+$73.89
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$45.49
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$28.79
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$12.76
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$37.60
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$1.34
- AbaloneighLast tradedDown-$67.42
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$5.84
- SRock.SanLast tradedUp+$2
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$10
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$6.80
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedUp+$2
- Bmirko221Last tradedDown-$58.70
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AwokerjoesleeperLast tradedYes-$2.54
- AHourglassLast tradedYes-$2.18
- BVictorLudorumLast tradedYes-$2.41
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$37.89
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$4.77
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$43.65
- Called
- DRX
- Won
- Paper Rex
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBagwell306Last tradedDRX-$281.25
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedDRX-$81.48
- ABookWarriorLast tradedDRX-$9.51
- Called
- Paper Rex
- Won
- Paper Rex
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedPaper Rex+$383.54
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedDRX-$94.75
- ABookWarriorLast tradedPaper Rex+$11.43
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$35.86
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedUp+$25.01
- AbaloneighLast tradedUp+$19.80
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 53%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 88%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$0.07
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$19.47
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedDown+$9
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$6.63
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$3.85
- BohanismLast tradedDown+$40.87
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo+$65.56
- AWeatherstappenLast tradedNo+$26.25
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$20.80
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$22.97
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$10.76
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$4.90
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$18.20
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$14.52
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$5.91
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$13.84
- AaHjCzLast tradedNo+$0.41
- BStayFreshCheeseBagsLast tradedNo+$58.86
4,067 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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