Resolution reportTuesday, May 5, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
72%
679 right266 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 3,307
- No consensus
- 2,362
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 567 provider closure; 2,740 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$265.22
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$106.37
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$85.02
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$15.92
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$9.34
- B0x3f82…24bfLast tradedUp-$121.47
- Called
- Natus Vincere
- Won
- FUT Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SxytestLast tradedNatus Vincere-$1,806.11
- SminjiLast tradedNatus Vincere-$893.99
- Swhite-rabbitLast tradedNatus Vincere-$520.45
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$0.60
- Aus391Last tradedNo-$2,934.10
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$772.65
- Called
- TYLOO
- Won
- TYLOO
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedTYLOO+$1,322.74
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedTYLOO+$1,129.78
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedTYLOO+$63.10
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage
Right- Called
- ex-Zero Tenacity
- Won
- ex-Zero Tenacity
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedex-Zero Tenacity+$180.11
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedex-Zero Tenacity+$90.26
- SshoemanhereLast tradedASTRAL-$20.09
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Right- Called
- magic
- Won
- magic
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedmagic+$275.67
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedmagic+$36.33
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedEternal Fire-$26.83
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$364.26
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$136.36
- Storta.techLast tradedNo+$21.05
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$169.59
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$53.19
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$26.91
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedNo+$51.87
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$51
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$17.86
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$21.02
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$16.26
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$1.35
- Won
- Infinite
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedLilmix-$1,644.80
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedLilmix-$64.63
- AdicekingLast tradedInfinite+$1,350
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$24.28
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedUp-$59.93
- BWeird-PeakLast tradedDown+$95.87
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$41.10
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$11.85
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$6.46
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SJargsLast tradedNo+$1,038.35
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedNo+$365.49
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$338.02
- Called
- GAM Esports
- Won
- GAM Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjohnbasterLast tradedGAM Esports+$446.80
- SMalfunction.Last tradedGAM Esports+$20.45
- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedGAM Esports+$19.82
- Called
- Suzan Lamens
- Won
- Suzan Lamens
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedSuzan Lamens+$598.99
- STRCMLast tradedSuzan Lamens+$234.62
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedCarol Young Suh Lee-$134.66
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUnder+$400.67
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$245.94
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$176
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$41.64
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$0.88
- AQQQ9000Last tradedUp+$180.69
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$266.78
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$180.88
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$20.06
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$41.23
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$27.76
- SthanksforplayinLast tradedUp+$5.50
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$171.02
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$45.91
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$38.14
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedYes+$22.97
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$8.41
- BAmano-HinaLast tradedNo-$248.10
- Called
- Nigma Galaxy
- Won
- Nigma Galaxy
- Profitable wallets
- 18
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedTeam Nemesis-$65.19
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedNigma Galaxy+$34.32
- AFrankieXLast tradedTeam Nemesis-$275.81
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$629.15
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$36.18
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$17.64
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$225.07
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$25.25
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$3.71
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 31%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$175.08
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$14.89
- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$3.30
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$23.39
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$14.38
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedUp-$121.50
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes+$34.99
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$17.50
- Aopopv.Last tradedYes+$3.12
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$49.62
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$27.17
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$3.71
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-05-02?
No consensus- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes+$385.48
- Storta.techLast tradedNo-$179.45
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$15.86
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$4.20
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$37.11
- AQQQ9000Last tradedDown+$18.08
- Called
- Shanxi Loongs
- Won
- Shanxi Loongs
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedQingdao Eagles-$466.99
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedShanxi Loongs+$230.96
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedQingdao Eagles-$108.04
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$3.66
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedUp+$632.09
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp+$89.06
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$31.09
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$98.81
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedDown-$34.68
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 19%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$75.06
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$53.83
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$15.78
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 26%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$11.29
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$4.80
- BFatSlagLast tradedUp-$462.05
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$22.30
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$1.32
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedUp-$88.23
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$41.20
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$1.58
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedUp+$64.76
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$25.25
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown-$48.91
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedUp+$29.99
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$4.61
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedDown+$97.22
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedDown+$44.84
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$11.66
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$0.16
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$6.59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$27.76
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$26.68
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$25
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedUnder+$14,029.36
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedOver-$92.31
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$82.85
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$6.19
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$506.39
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$150.83
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$6.19
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$506.68
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$150.84
2,296 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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