Resolution reportMonday, May 4, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
71%
701 right280 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 3,808
- No consensus
- 2,827
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 547 provider closure; 3,261 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo-$41.85
- StsybkaLast tradedYes+$12.65
- AleCommissaireLast tradedYes+$574.01
- Called
- Aurora
- Won
- Aurora
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 29%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$17.50
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$9.16
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$0.53
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$20.03
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$12.09
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$11.18
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$104
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$77.45
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$31.62
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$94.19
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$53.31
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$2.58
- Called
- GenOne
- Won
- GenOne
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedagainst All authority-$1,656.62
- SRN1Last tradedagainst All authority-$522.28
- SDonkooLast tradedGenOne+$121.13
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$74.72
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$19.02
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$18.95
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$57.26
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$17.78
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$10.08
- Called
- Gentle Mates
- Won
- Gentle Mates
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedGentle Mates+$14.43
- SRock.SanLast tradedGentle Mates+$0.73
- AGeorgeReLast tradedFOKUS-$607.02
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$30.29
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$18.83
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedDown-$20.23
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$79.15
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$25.25
- APrickly-EyrieLast tradedUp-$99.64
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALondonBridgeLast tradedDown+$37.12
- BNorthkeepLast tradedUp-$196.50
- BohanismLast tradedDown+$74.59
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$25.97
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$18.03
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$13.31
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 17
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$4.50
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$3.59
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$1.47
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes+$1,477.63
- SgollazaLast tradedNo-$63.72
- Stopogrupo1Last tradedNo-$35.26
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$513.48
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$55.26
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$0.92
- Called
- Sri Lanka
- Won
- Sri Lanka
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedSri Lanka+$4.84
- ANonTificantLast tradedBangladesh-$1,485.81
- ASunlineTickerLast tradedBangladesh-$193.64
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$13.54
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$7.72
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp-$414.85
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$133.56
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$117.25
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$95.59
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 31%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$92.50
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$63.98
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$29.25
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$67.92
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedUp+$93.37
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$90.50
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$238.87
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$31.66
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$25.48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$283.64
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$25.25
- BLoprinoLast tradedDown-$66
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$19.72
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedDown+$490
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp-$12.81
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$22.04
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$5.28
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedDown-$128.37
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALondonBridgeLast tradedUp-$76.92
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp-$60.68
- APrickly-EyrieLast tradedUp-$54.65
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$115.95
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$64.93
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$60.01
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$54.02
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$1.29
- AbaloneighLast tradedDown-$230.37
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$87.49
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$69.47
- SSharky6999Last tradedDown+$20.36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$22.46
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$17.79
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$3.18
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffs
No consensus- Won
- Ground Zero
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedAbyssal-$1,712.55
- AForAndWithYouLast tradedAbyssal-$437.46
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedGround Zero+$86.35
- Called
- FULL SENSE
- Won
- FULL SENSE
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedFULL SENSE+$40
- AeanvanezygvLast tradedFULL SENSE+$738.02
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedT1-$187.64
- Called
- Riyadh Falcons
- Won
- Riyadh Falcons
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedRiyadh Falcons+$57.96
- ARevengeRangeLast tradedOpTic Texas-$2,620.72
- AmwenyaLast tradedOpTic Texas-$656.68
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedOver+$210.32
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$83.11
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$27.98
- Called
- Alzon
- Won
- Alzon
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedCrashers-$156.11
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedAlzon+$124.93
- SshoemanhereLast tradedCrashers-$78
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$157.28
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$115.41
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$14.15
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$8.92
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$3.51
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedDown-$91.52
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$8.66
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedUp+$77.38
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$5.81
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$27.38
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedUp-$158.37
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$0.06
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$68.12
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$16.08
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$5.02
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AWeatherstappenLast tradedNo+$27.14
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$11.92
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedNo+$0.65
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$25.25
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedDown+$34.70
- BBobThePnlBuilderLast tradedDown+$104.58
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$25.25
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$0.49
- BBobThePnlBuilderLast tradedDown+$32.87
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedDown-$30.59
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$26.10
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$17.86
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$63.46
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$59.44
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$14.47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 0%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$60
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo+$46.50
- SNM-PLast tradedYes-$2.75
2,767 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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