Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: being rescored.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,992
- No consensus
- 3,652
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 899 provider closure; 6,093 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$13.44
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$33.60
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown+$5.44
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedNo+$13.37
- BLornaPredictsLast tradedYes-$1.45
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$0.80
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$11.10
- BsolomiyLast tradedDown-$3.47
- BSharkozyLast tradedUp+$1.89
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$10.50
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$6.72
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$3.82
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ba010392e-6526-4115-ae6a-14b27a0c927fLast tradedUp-$21.31
- Bangry-bagelLast tradedUp-$20.28
- BrfetLast tradedDown+$19.07
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$14.62
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedUp+$32.36
- Bangry-bagelLast tradedDown-$50.99
- Called
- Over 5.5
- Won
- Over 5.5
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sndb1Last tradedOver 5.5+$1.40
- BCosmicCedarLast tradedUnder 5.5-$7.97
- BLornaPredictsLast tradedUnder 5.5-$3.72
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABoomLaLaLast tradedYes+$226
- BliberatemeLast tradedNo-$219.37
- B0x0770Last tradedYes+$2.73
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ARailbirdLast tradedNo+$0.54
- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$9.09
- BBeginnersLuck2Last tradedYes-$1.05
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$9.09
- BDreamer3bcbcd6cLast tradedNo+$0.68
- BLornaPredictsLast tradedYes-$0.50
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$6.98
- AElated-LentilLast tradedUp+$1.71
- BtruuuuuLast tradedDown-$4.49
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$2.41
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$8
- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$4.61
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$9.70
- BriceapplepieLast tradedUp-$4.35
- BtruuuuuLast tradedDown+$2.01
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$4.77
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$6.64
- BrfetLast tradedDown+$10.06
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo+$4.78
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.07
- BDamienWLast tradedNo+$3.56
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.45
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$2.20
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.40
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$2.64
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$0.19
- BtruuuuuLast tradedUp+$3.84
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$7.25
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.32
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$0.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BSunnydaysLast tradedYes+$5.05
- Bpb7Last tradedYes+$1.02
- Brocky42001Last tradedYes+$0.76
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$0.62
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$2.04
- BIVY56Last tradedUp-$5.87
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ApennedreadfulLast tradedYes-$72.31
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.05
- BRealMaxNickLast tradedNo+$64.82
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$7.20
- BotterrLast tradedNo+$1.28
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$0.60
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BJubilant-PhraseLast tradedNo+$9.14
- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.31
- BBeginnersLuck2Last tradedNo+$3.66
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on May 1?
No consensus- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACamelUpLast tradedNo-$39.86
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes+$37.29
- BDear-HomeLast tradedNo-$4.18
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.10
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$4
- BluelueluelueluelueLast tradedNo+$2.61
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$7.02
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$2.43
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedUp-$16.57
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedYes-$113.77
- BXgsLast tradedNo+$106.36
- B387411007415611814092217897387Last tradedNo+$13
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.44
- BLornaPredictsLast tradedYes-$0.50
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.34
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$1.12
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedUp-$8.01
- B976FLast tradedDown+$1.12
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$48.98
- BmachiaveliaLast tradedUnder-$99.89
- B0x0770Last tradedOver+$44.90
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo+$1.43
- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$7.27
- BterrordogchampionLast tradedNo+$1.32
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BneversmilingLast tradedDown-$2.94
- BrfetLast tradedDown-$2.65
- BohanismLast tradedUp+$1.78
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo+$0.19
- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.45
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.20
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BSitiropikohLast tradedNo+$2.89
- BJubilant-PhraseLast tradedNo+$1.66
- B8796b01a723066063eba805833778c276162eb9fLast tradedNo+$1.20
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.44
- BnisitiLast tradedNo+$0.46
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.30
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.45
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedNo+$0.67
- BLornaPredictsLast tradedYes-$0.50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$4.48
- Bangry-bagelLast tradedDown-$15.84
- BUnlawful-ShearLast tradedUp+$10.57
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$5.01
- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$3.80
- Bgarbagecollect4Last tradedNo+$3.45
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.44
- BBeginnersLuck2Last tradedNo+$0.80
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$0.40
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$3.30
- Bqqqppp-l1Last tradedYes-$1
- BLornaPredictsLast tradedYes-$0.28
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$2.66
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$1
- B976FLast tradedDown+$0.51
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$5.45
- BSunnydaysLast tradedNo+$2.17
- BLXJXLJLast tradedYes-$0.80
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$6.10
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$0.80
- BTheMaskLosesLast tradedDown+$0.54
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$0.70
- BtruuuuuLast tradedDown+$10.67
- BIVY56Last tradedUp-$4.21
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BriceapplepieLast tradedDown-$22.06
- BtruuuuuLast tradedUp+$7.73
- BohanismLast tradedUp+$7.32
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$0.21
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$0.15
- B0xe458…7fecLast tradedDown+$3.10
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALesterDiamondLast tradedUnder+$2.37
- AElated-LentilLast tradedUnder+$0.65
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedUnder+$0.55
3,491 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 61,818 more positions across 3,126 markets on this day.