Resolution reportSunday, May 3, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
73%
2,428 right912 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,992
- No consensus
- 3,652
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 899 provider closure; 6,093 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$6.84
- BLuckyNumberThirteenLast tradedDown-$9.41
- Bsixx7Last tradedDown-$6.88
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$1.07
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$24.04
- BtruuuuuLast tradedDown-$45.47
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$25
- Bangry-bagelLast tradedDown-$20.52
- BBatyKarenLast tradedDown-$14.19
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$26.38
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$1.23
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$6.35
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ARailbirdLast tradedNo+$2.99
- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$9.08
- BJubilant-PhraseLast tradedNo+$3.78
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$3.36
- Bmirko221Last tradedUp+$23.89
- BsolomiyLast tradedDown-$22.68
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bpurple-lamp-treeLast tradedDown-$13.72
- BIVY56Last tradedUp+$12.18
- BohanismLast tradedDown-$12.02
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 8%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$1.35
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedDown-$17.30
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$6.18
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$29.63
- Apppppppppo65Last tradedDown-$35.65
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp+$25
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$11.53
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$6.99
- BratueLast tradedUp+$47.37
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$12.32
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$5.71
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$0.71
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$10.44
- BHalfa-BetaLast tradedNo+$5.85
- BFlamboyant-WarmingLast tradedNo+$3.60
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$3.62
- BotterrLast tradedNo+$3.60
- BCorkisGeldbeutelLast tradedNo+$1.74
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACamelUpLast tradedNo+$228
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$7.67
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$7.40
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5
No consensus- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUnder-$161.84
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedOver+$2.17
- BswisstonyLast tradedOver+$1,256.18
- Called
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Won
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SshoemanhereLast tradedChicago Cubs-$4,840.63
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedArizona Diamondbacks+$2,017.56
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedArizona Diamondbacks+$1,555.24
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$952.96
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder+$135.89
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$1.84
- Called
- HAVU
- Won
- ex-RUBY
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedHAVU-$942.21
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedHAVU-$111.45
- ABookWarriorLast tradedex-RUBY+$32.35
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 60%
- Called
- CD Leganés
- Won
- CD Leganés
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACannaeLast tradedCD Leganés+$302.99
- BswisstonyLast tradedCD Leganés+$658.75
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedCD Leganés+$65.74
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$5.34
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$151.17
- AUlamTriXLast tradedNo-$14.01
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$428.09
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$277.03
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedUnder+$552
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder-$231.35
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$226.08
- AMiLiveLast tradedOver+$4.70
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder+$654.67
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$128.05
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$3.74
- Called
- FUT Academy
- Won
- FUT Academy
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedFUT Academy+$1.13
- A239393828Last tradedEternal Fire Passion-$1,141.23
- BsjhfcchaLast tradedFUT Academy+$1,527.95
- Called
- San Diego Padres
- Won
- San Diego Padres
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Afatdog-012Last tradedSan Francisco Giants-$134.74
- ALesterDiamondLast tradedSan Diego Padres+$3.15
- A-JB-Last tradedSan Diego Padres+$3.08
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$572.22
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedUnder+$86.70
- BGarrythesnailLast tradedOver-$194.58
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
No consensus- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo-$497.98
- Sqwe258Last tradedYes+$22.07
- B387411007415611814092217897387Last tradedNo-$84.60
- Called
- Saga Ballooners
- Won
- Saga Ballooners
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedSaga Ballooners+$58.87
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedSaga Ballooners+$79.25
- BswisstonyLast tradedSaga Ballooners+$437.65
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5
No consensus- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder+$1,117.74
- Storta.techLast tradedOver-$166.25
- AmscleoLast tradedOver-$1,200
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedUp-$33.48
- AreferralfarmerLast tradedUp-$15.12
- BMeridianColdViewLast tradedUp-$379.86
MegaETH FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BfintraderLast tradedNo+$505.90
- BretokloreretpoLast tradedYes-$101.43
- BRunner109Last tradedNo+$85.19
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAnjunLast tradedNo+$54.39
- ATheGreekTraderPMLast tradedYes-$204.84
- Brocky42008Last tradedYes-$284.12
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder-$100.10
- SMalfunction.Last tradedOver+$0.65
- BImFasterLast tradedOver+$497.43
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$28.42
- BExotic-UtilityLast tradedDown+$339.26
- BmydreamsLast tradedDown+$23.15
- Called
- Cleveland Guardians
- Won
- Cleveland Guardians
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SshoemanhereLast tradedCleveland Guardians+$373.45
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedCleveland Guardians+$96.03
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedCleveland Guardians+$3.40
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- APredictionYogiLast tradedYes+$0.69
- BPooryLast tradedYes+$417.04
- BAJSVLast tradedNo-$11.93
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo-$516.17
- ACamelUpLast tradedYes+$3,603.23
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedNo-$447.94
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$1.26
- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedUp+$0.30
- BExotic-UtilityLast tradedUp+$247.32
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedYes+$184.70
- Sqwe258Last tradedYes+$39.46
- ApelikLast tradedYes+$0.26
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedYes-$362.92
- AZhangMuZhi..Last tradedNo+$0.18
- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$3.59
- Called
- Telekom Baskets Bonn
- Won
- Telekom Baskets Bonn
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedTelekom Baskets Bonn+$67.29
- BswisstonyLast tradedTelekom Baskets Bonn+$174.91
- BpenguinecLast tradedTelekom Baskets Bonn+$131.82
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$74.67
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNo+$2.56
- ALilybaeumLast tradedNo+$42.08
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$0.77
- BIVY56Last tradedUp+$106.16
- Bpurple-lamp-treeLast tradedUp+$89.96
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SC03BLast tradedYes-$8.21
- Am3t64 - 815Last tradedNo+$383.63
- AAlbert 1953Last tradedYes-$80.47
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$95.08
- SSharky6999Last tradedDown+$0.23
- Bangry-bagelLast tradedDown+$112.28
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Acry.eth2Last tradedYes-$156.50
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$107.38
- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$10.87
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- BUnlawful-ShearLast tradedDown+$111.19
- BPeaceful-QuadrantLast tradedDown+$102.14
- BBatyKarenLast tradedDown+$34.30
3,491 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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