Resolution reportSunday, May 3, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
73%
2,428 right912 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,992
- No consensus
- 3,652
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 899 provider closure; 6,093 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$51,025
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedOver+$1,852.24
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver+$531.25
- Called
- San Francisco Giants
- Won
- Cincinnati Reds
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedCincinnati Reds+$3,035.54
- SFlipadelphiaLast tradedCincinnati Reds+$1,455
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedSan Francisco Giants-$1,424.15
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$515.46
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$489.57
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$372.09
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$63.36
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$54.84
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$39.29
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$194.49
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$124.81
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$41.16
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$75.95
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$20.88
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedDown-$16.98
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$190.13
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$63.32
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$23.68
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$43.76
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$38.80
- SquantbarbieLast tradedDown+$11.89
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$93.18
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$34.27
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$30.61
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$81.92
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$31.84
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$20.55
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$161.15
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$23.94
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$21.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$167.66
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$29.31
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$29
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$272.39
- S0x0a2c53bd218c04da996cf96490e14-f3dfb9bc2Last tradedUp-$196.92
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$69.21
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$315.79
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$156.07
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$67.13
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$59.24
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$44.22
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$6
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$430.47
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$154.66
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$152.28
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$125.45
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$37.61
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$17.95
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$219.88
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$102.41
- S0x0a2c53bd218c04da996cf96490e14-f3dfb9bc2Last tradedDown+$51.72
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedUp-$783.62
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$130.88
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$63.16
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$136.33
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$122.17
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$60.45
- Called
- Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Won
- Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedNinjas in Pyjamas+$2,083.44
- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedNinjas in Pyjamas+$1,534
- SnewwmanLast tradedNinjas in Pyjamas+$540.21
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$211.60
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$66.65
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$61.93
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$222.96
- SpoorersobLast tradedUp-$45.28
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$32.92
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$693.60
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$225.59
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$74.14
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$268.05
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$264.10
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$245.32
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$95.81
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$86.68
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$67.08
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedDown-$76.44
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$64.56
- AHcrystallashLast tradedUp+$536.35
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$220.46
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$214
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$39.60
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$494.62
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$50.40
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$48.59
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$153.25
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$84.17
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$36.70
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$49.93
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$19
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$16.71
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$599.53
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$144.45
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$126.06
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$63.42
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$32.37
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$28.50
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SpoorersobLast tradedUp-$758.51
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$420.50
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$413.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$57.95
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$36
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$22.79
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$263.16
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedUp+$19.36
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$19.20
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$137.52
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$57.35
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$22.18
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$49.81
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$40.06
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$29.46
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$147.02
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$143.79
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$40.59
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$85.71
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$29.52
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$24.05
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$79.85
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$61.08
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$57.94
- Called
- James McCabe
- Won
- James McCabe
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedJames McCabe+$7,485.14
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJames McCabe+$3,304.32
- STRCMLast tradedJames McCabe+$1,751.88
- Called
- FOKUS
- Won
- PARIVISION
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedFOKUS-$2,585.25
- SRN1Last tradedFOKUS-$958.18
- Swhite-rabbitLast tradedFOKUS-$202.09
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$90.79
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$27.75
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$24.21
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$925.58
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$99.94
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$90.23
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$326.62
- S0x0a2c53bd218c04da996cf96490e14-f3dfb9bc2Last tradedDown+$283.33
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$150.12
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$724.80
- S0x0a2c53bd218c04da996cf96490e14-f3dfb9bc2Last tradedDown+$292.91
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$216.87
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$759.03
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$228.21
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$33.60
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$161.64
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$25.25
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$20.97
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$323.41
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$230.89
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$90.54
3,491 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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