Resolution reportFriday, May 1, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
72%
2,140 right842 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,479
- No consensus
- 3,497
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 503 provider closure; 5,976 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$200.57
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$88.69
- SquantbarbieLast tradedDown+$6.17
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$322.44
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$240.96
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$32.07
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$113.94
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$107.96
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$86.82
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$139.86
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$40.15
- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$4
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$105.33
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$57.15
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$24.46
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$225.45
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$190.05
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$180.91
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$264.73
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$244.73
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$47.18
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$86.57
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$30.43
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$28.16
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$62.87
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$59.42
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$53.21
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$140
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$63.21
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$47.88
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$301.93
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$189.05
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$145.65
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$190.23
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$31.64
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$22.13
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$217.11
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$56.41
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$22.08
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$120.45
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$72.27
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$58.31
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$64.58
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$42.93
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$30.73
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$138.55
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$106.91
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$43.05
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$34.78
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$31.36
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$16.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$305.53
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$266.89
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$78.09
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$47.36
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$22.57
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$14.45
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 41%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$435.51
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$139
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$111.10
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$267.43
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$227.97
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$173.61
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$750.89
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$66.21
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$56.72
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$595.24
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$181.54
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$146.39
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$330.74
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$303.35
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$126.62
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$529.84
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$85.60
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$44.97
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$166.27
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$55.32
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$17.45
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$340.79
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$54.72
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$26.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$59.90
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$52.48
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$38.86
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$84.96
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$51.75
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$6.91
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$103.58
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$83.09
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$69.87
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$35.58
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$31.71
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$16.76
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$228.46
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$192.05
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$159.75
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$1,024.49
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$216.43
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$122.87
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$1,399.29
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$111.54
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$102.76
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$230.07
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$59.72
- SquantbarbieLast tradedDown-$30.20
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$65.15
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$32.06
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$16.21
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$215.85
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$193.45
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$133.16
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$123.09
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$63.98
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$25.37
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$491.42
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$419.94
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$217.53
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$200.95
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$148.91
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedUp+$55.96
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- Acry.eth2Last tradedYes+$6,157.23
- AperfectnostalgiaLast tradedYes+$1,245.62
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedYes+$249.89
- Called
- San Francisco Giants
- Won
- San Francisco Giants
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSan Francisco Giants+$23,337.01
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMiami Marlins-$1,942.35
- SRN1Last tradedSan Francisco Giants+$1,692.41
- Called
- Martin Damm
- Won
- Martin Damm
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedCristian Garin-$11,726.90
- Sone8tyfiveLast tradedMartin Damm+$3,645.36
- STRCMLast tradedCristian Garin-$3,463.57
- Called
- ThunderTalk Gaming
- Won
- ThunderTalk Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedLGD Gaming-$8,793.66
- SAnjunLast tradedThunderTalk Gaming+$3,652.96
- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedLGD Gaming-$2,248.27
- Called
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Won
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedArizona Diamondbacks-$925.02
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedArizona Diamondbacks-$696.69
- SRN1Last tradedArizona Diamondbacks-$622.08
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$341.76
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$336.46
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$317.50
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$888.30
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$411.39
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$143.84
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$415.74
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$307.03
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$169.88
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$862.66
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$100.93
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$61.80
3,349 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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