Resolution reportFriday, May 1, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
72%
2,140 right842 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 6,479
- No consensus
- 3,497
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 503 provider closure; 5,976 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$423.36
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$307.33
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$82.97
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 67%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$280.56
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$121.80
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$42.79
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$38.03
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$33.67
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$23.61
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$109.67
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$79.27
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$22.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$48.92
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$28.98
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$22.22
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$26.93
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$23.70
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$21.88
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$100.90
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$26.69
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$15.49
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$74.21
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$68.77
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$53.09
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$144.50
- SpoorersobLast tradedDown+$100.45
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$38.66
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$296.62
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$30.81
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$22.43
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$124.99
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$88.24
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$38.18
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$83.54
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$71.49
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$48.62
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$137.27
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$123.40
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$85.36
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$235.64
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$87.43
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$83.62
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$69.50
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$43.06
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$19.62
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$174.43
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$69.96
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$49.17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$423.21
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$108.68
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$38.74
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$258.82
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$43.31
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$25
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$337.76
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$52.20
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$39.23
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$2,110.91
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedNo-$264.98
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo-$136.94
- Called
- Miami Marlins
- Won
- Miami Marlins
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ssportmaster777Last tradedMiami Marlins+$8,711.30
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedSt. Louis Cardinals-$1,406.83
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSt. Louis Cardinals-$1,342.16
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSizirivLast tradedNo+$12.28
- Se46m3Last tradedNo+$0.17
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$483.16
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SboyauLast tradedYes-$19,897.44
- Sesports095Last tradedNo+$547.57
- SHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$147.74
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 72%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$869.80
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$239.06
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$123.86
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$85.50
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$42.31
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$32.97
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$119.03
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$115.14
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$65.33
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$153.82
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$51.13
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$33.36
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$175.45
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$101.77
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$41.56
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$392.41
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$54.84
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$11.10
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$595.43
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$169.77
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$123.55
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$299.93
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$80.30
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$54.11
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$89.99
- SpoorersobLast tradedDown-$72.64
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$70.35
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$60.54
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$41.11
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$18.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$184.17
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$103.87
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$22.31
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$264.06
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$104.12
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$63.78
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$364.41
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$25.07
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$24.81
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$103.20
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$35.25
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$9.76
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$499.20
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$138.24
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$83.23
- Called
- Natus Vincere
- Won
- Natus Vincere
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedTeam Heretics-$3,900
- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedTeam Heretics-$1,119.50
- SAndromeda1Last tradedNatus Vincere+$727.25
- Called
- Solary
- Won
- Solary
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedFnatic-$2,077.76
- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedSolary+$1,048.80
- SnewwmanLast tradedSolary+$555.17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$220.37
- SpoorersobLast tradedUp+$62.07
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$55.18
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 95%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$109.46
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$86.67
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$74.59
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$753.65
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$126.29
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$47.14
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$196.40
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$37.94
- SpoorersobLast tradedUp+$33.06
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$222.80
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$221.16
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$160.42
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- A1881aaLast tradedNo-$2,563.93
- AVitaaalyaLast tradedNo-$279.64
- AtryingmyluckhereLast tradedNo-$91.98
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$176.34
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$170.67
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$20.70
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$1,058.28
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$570.57
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$227.75
- Called
- San Francisco Giants
- Won
- San Francisco Giants
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ssportmaster777Last tradedSan Francisco Giants+$6,362.39
- SRN1Last tradedCincinnati Reds-$4,245.71
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedSan Francisco Giants+$1,482.04
3,349 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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