Resolution reportSunday, April 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets' accuracy

Report saved 1d ago

72%

328 right129 wrong

The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved: 2,493
No consensus: 2,036

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 1,022 provider closure; 1,471 first observed.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 32-33°F on April 18?
No consensus
Weather
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 12:03:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.06
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$4.91
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $124-$126 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?
Wrong
Stocks
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
43%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 19:16:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  e46m3Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$4.82
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.10
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on April 18?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 21:25:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$2.84
- B
  nc3iceibvtvetvbtLast traded 20 Aug 2026
  Yes-$1.20
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or higher on April 17?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 11:30:26 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$2.97
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$1.86
- B
  rusgreatLast traded 10 Sept 2026
  No+$0.17
Austin FC leading at halftime?
Right
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 04:11:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Hard-IroncladLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes+$2.35
- S
  qwe258Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.19
- B
  0x0770Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes+$1.80
Evann Guessand: Anytime Goalscorer
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 15:18:18 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  Original-EternityLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$2.80
- B
  zaedaLast traded 26 Sept 2026
  No+$1.45
- B
  5273853Last traded 23 Sept 2026
  No+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on April 18?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 21:25:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$3
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$1.18
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 18?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 11:30:26 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.10
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$4.88
- B
  SunnydaysLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on April 20?
No consensus
Weather
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 21:25:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  LesterDiamondLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$7.17
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$3
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
Will Danny Aarons score a goal in the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?
Right
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 21:25:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  qwe258Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes+$1.97
- B
  oidocropLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes+$4.08
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No-$2.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of April 13 2026?
Right
Finance
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 12:03:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  VNINVESTORLast traded 24 Aug 2026
  No+$3.20
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.26
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on April 20?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 19:16:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$2.95
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.50
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 18?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 12:03:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$3.94
- B
  otterrLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1.02
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 18?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 15:18:18 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$2.92
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.90
- B
  Jubilant-PhraseLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.59
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-19?
Right
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
20%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 20:20:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  UlamTriXLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No-$16.66
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Yes+$1.39
- B
  hbqasbanana02Last traded 21 Aug 2026
  Yes+$18.28
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $122-$124 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?
Right
Stocks
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
60%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 05:18:47 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  CamelUpLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$2.68
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.09
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.11
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 on April 14?
Right
Stocks
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 19:16:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  hermesss123Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes+$1.56
- B
  kodeoedLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes+$1.32
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No-$0.33
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
Right
Culture
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 02:06:09 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  calvinhobbes123Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$2.81
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.80
- B
  NoobCaptLast traded 12 Sept 2026
  No+$0.13
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on April 14?
Right
Stocks
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 03:10:18 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  DamienWLast traded 21 Sept 2026
  Yes+$1.72
- B
  kodeoedLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.68
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No-$0.32
Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
Right
Culture
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 04:11:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NoobCaptLast traded 12 Sept 2026
  No+$3.60
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$1.94
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.22
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of April 13 2026?
Right
Stocks
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 03:10:18 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  bean125Last traded 5 Jul 2026
  No+$0.96
- B
  kodeoedLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.57
- B
  hermesss123Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.23
AZ vs. NEC: O/U 4.5
Right
Soccer
Called
Over
Won
Over
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
Provider closure: 19 Apr 2026, 21:24:22 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  qwe258Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Over+$0.17
- A
  venera1234Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Over+$57.41
- B
  PoissonicLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Under-$55.92
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
Wrong
Culture
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 13:08:58 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  calvinhobbes123Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$3.61
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$1.89
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.13
Will Cadillac have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Right
Formula 1
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 15:00:00 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  MRFLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.98
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.90
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
Right
Culture
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 12:03:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  calvinhobbes123Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$1.57
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.46
- B
  sweetjLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.36
Rodez Aveyron Football vs. Amiens SC: Both Teams to Score
Right
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 13:08:58 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  STAYCALMLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.60
- B
  0x0770Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.53
- B
  0x5825…4ffbLast traded 25 Jul 2026
  Yes+$0.09
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of April 13 2026?
Wrong
Finance
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 15:18:18 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  LiuJeremyLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$2.26
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.59
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.58
Will Alpine have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Right
Formula 1
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 15:00:00 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  MRFLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.98
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.30
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
Will Audi Revolut have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Right
Formula 1
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 15:00:00 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  MRFLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.98
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.30
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
Will Tgr Haas have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Right
Formula 1
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 15:00:00 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  MRFLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.98
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.30
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
Will Esteban Ocon achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Right
Formula 1
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 15:00:00 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  MRFLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.82
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.30
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
Will Valtteri Bottas achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Right
Formula 1
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 15:00:00 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  MRFLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.82
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.30
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
Will Gabriel Bortoleto achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Right
Formula 1
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 15:00:00 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  MRFLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.76
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.30
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
Will Oliver Bearman achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Right
Formula 1
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 15:00:00 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  MRFLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.76
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.30
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
Will Fiorentina qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 19 Apr 2026, 18:00:44 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  CyberflemsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$4.38
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$4.11
- B
  LexmaLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.58
Will Racing Bulls have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Right
Formula 1
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 15:00:00 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.61
- B
  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04Last traded 13 Aug 2026
  No+$0.31
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?
Right
Stocks
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 21:25:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  e46m3Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$1.05
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.19
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.74
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of April 13 above $131?
Right
Stocks
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 11:30:26 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  CamelUpLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes+$16.44
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  No-$16.87
- B
  Filthy-ShallotLast traded 14 Sept 2026
  Yes+$0.82
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on April 17?
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 12:03:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  pb7Last traded 13 Aug 2026
  No+$0.50
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
- B
  CUR1OUSCATLast traded 3 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.06
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5
Wrong
Baseball
Called
Under
Won
Over
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
14%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 04:07:00 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  shoemanhereLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Under-$10.85
- A
  LesterDiamondLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Over+$6.20
- B
  0x0770Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over+$4.43
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?
Wrong
Stocks
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 20:20:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  bean125Last traded 5 Jul 2026
  No+$0.83
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.44
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $126-$128 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?
Right
Stocks
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 20:20:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  e46m3Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  No+$0.31
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.10
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.22
Will Highlanders win?
Right
Sports
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 19 Apr 2026, 05:18:47 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.40
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 6 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.35
- B
  Sam.YoungLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.08

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