Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 88% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 3,799
- No consensus
- 2,121
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 214 provider closure; 3,585 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bmmrm2Last tradedUp+$13.05
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedDown+$9.50
- B0dx982z6Esv8ssddLast tradedDown+$6.77
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown+$6.34
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedUp+$5.83
- BBatyKarenLast tradedUp-$47.82
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$6.13
- AtphhhLast tradedNo+$2
- BCapillatusLast tradedNo+$14.01
- Called
- St. John's Red Storm
- Won
- St. John's Red Storm
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SInferior-TrafficLast tradedSt. John's Red Storm+$29.55
- Sqwe258Last tradedSt. John's Red Storm+$1.54
- BDCAAALast tradedProvidence Friars-$63.93
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$68.22
- AHcrystallashLast tradedDown-$62.40
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedDown-$8.64
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$3.78
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo+$25.58
- BIll-Informed-CommissionLast tradedNo+$1.30
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedDown-$70.50
- BjustinbeaverLast tradedDown+$20.53
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedUp+$16.10
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsnoopdogeLast tradedUp+$9.93
- Bmmrm2Last tradedUp+$11.18
- BQualitativeLast tradedDown+$7.50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedUp-$64.60
- B0xAnonx0Last tradedDown+$81.96
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedDown+$9.92
- Called
- HAVU
- Won
- Bebop
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedHAVU-$38.57
- ABlack-FacilityLast tradedHAVU-$5.49
- BGamblingIsAllYouNeedLast tradedBebop+$44.64
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BelonmugLast tradedDown+$17.69
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedDown+$11.12
- BQualitativeLast tradedUp-$4.13
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedDown+$9.08
- SSharky6999Last tradedDown+$9.08
- Apppppppppo65Last tradedDown+$8.18
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 3AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BelonmugLast tradedDown+$23.03
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedUp+$11.44
- BQualitativeLast tradedDown-$8.72
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown-$30.37
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedUp+$0.21
- BBatyKarenLast tradedUp+$27.76
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedDown+$107
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedDown+$95.88
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedUp-$130.49
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedDown-$72.93
- B0xAnonx0Last tradedUp+$82.97
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedUp+$10.88
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
Wrong- Called
- Heat
- Won
- Bucks
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbetdgeLast tradedHeat-$124.98
- Storta.techLast tradedHeat-$44.65
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedBucks+$2.34
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedDown+$10.96
- BQualitativeLast tradedDown+$9.86
- BValet13Last tradedDown+$1.66
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown-$29.55
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedUp+$2.02
- B0x8A160Last tradedUp+$2.48
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedDown-$91
- B0xAnonx0Last tradedUp+$79.18
- BjustinbeaverLast tradedDown-$30.19
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALondonBridgeLast tradedUp+$1.40
- BPBot-1Last tradedDown-$51.65
- Bmoneymaker748Last tradedUp+$50.24
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUp-$56.04
- BQualitativeLast tradedDown+$58.44
- BBatyKarenLast tradedDown+$27.72
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BjustinbeaverLast tradedDown+$12.41
- B0dx982z6Esv8ssddLast tradedDown+$5.02
- B0x32A27Last tradedDown+$1.53
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BAnon321321Last tradedNo-$12.69
- BPollyForgeLast tradedYes-$8.27
- BJubilant-PhraseLast tradedNo+$1.17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BtnauqkugnahLast tradedDown-$23.97
- BohanismLast tradedUp+$2.42
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedUp+$1.75
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACamelUpLast tradedNo-$460.97
- BXgsLast tradedYes+$476.40
- BhjhjhjhjhjhjhjLast tradedNo+$2.65
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BelonmugLast tradedDown+$12.25
- BValet13Last tradedDown+$6.08
- Bpurple-lamp-treeLast tradedDown-$3.81
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedDown+$9.15
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedUp-$89.10
- BSof2025Last tradedDown+$44.15
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedDown+$47.17
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown+$3.01
- BSof2025Last tradedUp-$34.72
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BjustinbeaverLast tradedDown+$10.66
- BAdolescent-PantologyLast tradedUp+$3.13
- B0dx982z6Esv8ssddLast tradedUp+$2.16
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedDown+$5.15
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedUp-$2.32
- BBatyKarenLast tradedDown+$9.95
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BQualitativeLast tradedDown-$31.20
- Bmmrm2Last tradedDown+$9.61
- BsigsegLast tradedUp+$6.20
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedDown+$12.89
- BQualitativeLast tradedUp-$40
- Bpurple-lamp-treeLast tradedDown+$12.50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BjustinbeaverLast tradedDown-$26.47
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedUp+$10.56
- B0x768dLast tradedUp+$1.70
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedYes+$1.02
- ACoinTrickLast tradedYes+$3.94
- BLukyyyyyyyLast tradedYes+$7.19
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown-$10.06
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedDown-$7.90
- BSof2025Last tradedUp+$39.43
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BQualitativeLast tradedUp+$9.09
- B0x32A27Last tradedUp+$1.94
- BMeaty-PseudoscienceLast tradedUp+$1.01
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown-$13.79
- Apppppppppo65Last tradedUp+$1.07
- BQualitativeLast tradedUp+$13.85
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$121.10
- ApelikLast tradedUnder+$0.16
- Brocky42022Last tradedOver-$311.45
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BAgropescaJacareLast tradedDown-$32.61
- BjustinbeaverLast tradedUp+$9.83
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedUp+$9.10
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsnoopdogeLast tradedUp+$23.05
- BQualitativeLast tradedDown-$13
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedUp-$9.18
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bpurple-lamp-treeLast tradedDown-$17.17
- BjustinbeaverLast tradedUp+$7.20
- B0x32A27Last tradedUp+$1.53
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsnoopdogeLast tradedUp+$39.96
- BQualitativeLast tradedUp-$60
- BBatyKarenLast tradedDown+$10.25
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$4.43
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown-$12.26
- B0x8A160Last tradedUp+$10.77
2,003 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 13,336 more positions across 1,430 markets on this day.