Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 93% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 3,943
- No consensus
- 2,670
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 15 provider closure; 3,928 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMalfunction.Last tradedUnder+$5.44
- Bsirko133Last tradedUnder+$490.05
- BmhmmdLast tradedUnder+$98.92
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
- Called
- Assche
- Won
- Collignon
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 5AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BWee-PlayroomLast tradedDown+$376.34
- BelonmugLast tradedDown+$247.76
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedUp-$109.46
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SleegunnerLast tradedNo+$89
- AShocked-ProspectLast tradedNo+$1.76
- BTokidokiLast tradedNo+$299.17
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on February 20?
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedDown-$51.28
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedUp-$311.22
- BpandafamLast tradedUp+$0.70
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AZhangMuZhi..Last tradedYes-$348.59
- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$0.73
- Bcalvinhobbes123Last tradedNo+$3.46
- Called
- illwill
- Won
- illwill
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedillwill+$340.62
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedCSDIILIT-$1.47
- Bdegenofweb3Last tradedillwill+$0.39
- Called
- Idaho Vandals
- Won
- Portland State Vikings
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedYes-$79.51
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$205.35
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo+$103.95
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHand6789handLast tradedUp+$313.53
- BekomOkyantLast tradedDown-$36.99
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedUp+$15.07
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedYes+$16.70
- Sqwe258Last tradedYes+$0.11
- ACamelUpLast tradedYes+$237.62
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo-$222.81
- Sqwe258Last tradedYes+$0.32
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo-$11.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedYes-$87.09
- ACamelUpLast tradedNo-$147.06
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$3.24
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedDown+$27.77
- BwzbbbLast tradedDown+$92.90
- Bbigbrr0Last tradedDown+$88.67
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo-$12.16
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$205.35
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo+$48.45
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedDown+$143.17
- BtradewifeLast tradedDown+$34.82
- BAgropescaJacareLast tradedDown+$27.35
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo-$37.64
- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$1.45
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$135.99
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo+$4.97
- BAdolescent-HurdlerLast tradedYes-$220.09
- BKycperLast tradedNo+$2.32
- Called
- DN Freecs
- Won
- DN Freecs
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbloodmasterLast tradedDN Freecs+$10.13
- Amadoka123Last tradedDN Freecs+$156.64
- BLudwig14Last tradedDN Freecs+$39.84
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHand6789handLast tradedUp-$266.43
- BekomOkyantLast tradedDown+$30
- Bsir-betsalotLast tradedDown+$16.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BVibeTraderLast tradedYes-$191.78
- BAnon321321Last tradedNo-$12.61
- BbulbnbobLast tradedNo+$1.87
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUp-$183.37
- AHand6789handLast tradedUp-$52.44
- Bsir-betsalotLast tradedDown+$20.46
- Called
- Magic
- Won
- Magic
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMagic+$183.54
- SSnakeBallLast tradedMagic+$78.71
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedMagic+$68.46
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AZhangMuZhi..Last tradedYes-$184.55
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$6.58
- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$0.45
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$1
- AIH2PLast tradedNo+$318.41
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$155.01
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedUp+$4.04
- BwzbbbLast tradedDown-$105.22
- BHelloWorld2024Last tradedDown-$90.99
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$205.02
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedNo+$24.22
- BkodeoedLast tradedNo+$2.75
- Called
- AM Gaming
- Won
- AM Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedAM Gaming+$138.16
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedBASEMENT BOYS+$31.46
- B0xf88E8E743e1Ee455BEAB43d48d34E800eLast tradedAM Gaming+$1.30
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCarLast tradedNo+$7.05
- Afunplayer-Last tradedNo+$162
- BAJSVLast tradedYes-$64.60
- Called
- Mannarino
- Won
- Mannarino
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AplanktonXDLast tradedMannarino+$10.71
- BGamblingIsAllYouNeedLast tradedMannarino+$258.90
- BJMZ14Last tradedShelton-$102.30
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABeefSlayerLast tradedYes+$39.98
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$30.65
- Brocky42011Last tradedYes+$244.88
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo+$6.02
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$172.26
- BXgsLast tradedNo+$1.68
- Called
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
- Won
- Le Moyne Dolphins
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AFiscusLast tradedLe Moyne Dolphins+$4
- BPaltry-JockeyLast tradedCentral Connecticut State Blue Devils-$86.52
- BWhich-TextualLast tradedCentral Connecticut State Blue Devils-$43
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUp+$33.13
- Bbigbrr0Last tradedUp+$90.18
- Bsir-betsalotLast tradedUp+$16.58
- Called
- Mikrut
- Won
- Ruiz
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
- Won
- RED Canids
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedFOLHA AMARELA-$148.54
- ApelikLast tradedRED Canids+$1.24
- BHexxygLast tradedRED Canids+$2.29
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Acry.eth2Last tradedYes-$58.92
- AwokerjoesleeperLast tradedNo+$11.90
- BAJSVLast tradedYes-$88.10
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHand6789handLast tradedDown-$51.33
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedDown-$116.03
- BVacant-ThiefLast tradedUp+$57.55
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SJest55Last tradedNo+$0.85
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$134.91
- BSinjidLast tradedNo+$0.85
Valorant: SaD Esports vs QoR - Map 2 Winner
No consensus- Won
- QoR
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABlack-FacilityLast tradedSaD Esports-$39.81
- ApelikLast tradedQoR+$0.08
- BAlphaPengu1nLast tradedSaD Esports-$71.80
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- B0x8dxdLast tradedUp+$130.50
- BWee-PlayroomLast tradedUp+$127.75
- BelonmugLast tradedDown-$114.25
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$135.23
- ACamelUpLast tradedNo+$5.17
- BSinjidLast tradedNo+$1.85
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BwzbbbLast tradedUp-$103.76
- BekomOkyantLast tradedDown+$58.22
- B0x768dLast tradedUp-$50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedUp+$7.23
- BPBot-1Last tradedUp+$105
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedUp+$6.93
Will Meta (META) close at $630-$640 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedYes-$9.59
- ACamelUpLast tradedYes-$61.01
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$42.70
- Called
- Nebraska Cornhuskers
- Won
- Oregon Ducks
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Storta.techLast tradedOregon Ducks+$135.07
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNebraska Cornhuskers-$85.29
- BAlphaPengu1nLast tradedNebraska Cornhuskers-$119.04
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $136-$138 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$1.21
- Sqwe258Last tradedNo+$0.07
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$77.21
2,605 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 8,959 more positions across 1,048 markets on this day.