Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 87% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 4,433
- No consensus
- 2,788
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 8 provider closure; 4,425 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bsir-betsalotLast tradedDown-$23.55
- Bmmrm2Last tradedDown-$20.74
- BjacobfrostLast tradedUp+$16.97
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bsir-betsalotLast tradedUp-$10.15
- BjustinbeaverLast tradedUp-$4.61
- B0dx982z6Esv8ssddLast tradedDown+$2.94
- Called
- Nanterre
- Won
- Nanterre
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNanterre+$7.46
- ApelikLast tradedNanterre+$2.61
- BGamblingIsAllYouNeedLast tradedChalon/Saone-$23.20
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BjustinbeaverLast tradedDown-$23.39
- Bsir-betsalotLast tradedUp+$7.86
- B0dx982z6Esv8ssddLast tradedUp+$2.89
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBagwell306Last tradedNo-$115
- BTokidokiLast tradedYes+$120.40
- B0x0770Last tradedYes+$5.22
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedNo+$0.87
- Bluckee2026Last tradedNo+$8.41
- BRoomserviceLast tradedNo+$1.27
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$5.15
- ACamelUpLast tradedNo+$3.83
- BDamienWLast tradedNo+$1.67
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- B5w6a1f5fwaLast tradedOver+$4.50
- BratteLast tradedOver+$4
- Bgoonmaster24Last tradedOver+$1.13
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo+$0.29
- BAnon321321Last tradedNo-$11.64
- BKycperLast tradedNo+$1
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BgbppsddaaLast tradedDown+$3.83
- BSpreadEaterLast tradedDown+$3
- Bmmrm2Last tradedUp+$2.44
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BjustinbeaverLast tradedUp-$62.30
- B0dx982z6Esv8ssddLast tradedUp+$37.02
- Bsir-betsalotLast tradedUp+$17.33
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo-$0.67
- BMonies-For-NuggiesLast tradedNo+$6.44
- Brandomizer1998Last tradedNo+$3.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AwokerjoesleeperLast tradedNo-$5.23
- APredictionYogiLast tradedNo+$1.05
- BproductsLast tradedNo-$4.52
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArbTraderRookieLast tradedOver+$0.22
- BlllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllLast tradedOver+$7.73
- BLudwig14Last tradedUnder-$1
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bmmrm2Last tradedUp+$16.75
- Bsir-betsalotLast tradedDown-$16.55
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedDown+$4.75
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedNo+$3
- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo+$2.50
- BotterrLast tradedNo+$2.19
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedNo+$2
- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo+$0.08
- BKycperLast tradedNo+$4
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHaileyWelchLast tradedNo+$5.21
- BKings7Last tradedNo+$0.57
- BTCBY6688Last tradedNo+$0.55
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BjustinbeaverLast tradedUp-$12.95
- B0dx982z6Esv8ssddLast tradedUp+$5
- B0xe51b…3cadLast tradedUp+$1
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S033033033Last tradedNo+$0.13
- AmwenyaLast tradedNo+$4.22
- BStudyPredictionLast tradedNo+$6.84
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bmmrm2Last tradedUp+$3.57
- B0dx982z6Esv8ssddLast tradedDown+$2.94
- Bsir-betsalotLast tradedDown-$1.41
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bsir-betsalotLast tradedDown-$6.82
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedDown+$4.40
- Bmmrm2Last tradedUp-$4.17
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ASTAYCALMLast tradedUnder+$0.90
- B0x0770Last tradedUnder+$4.86
- BhjhjhjhjhjhjhjLast tradedOver-$1
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SJest55Last tradedNo+$1.26
- AMichael5289Last tradedNo+$1.49
- BTrustinghorseLast tradedNo+$1.17
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo+$37.67
- BHalfa-BetaLast tradedNo-$43.67
- BBrightSpringFoxLast tradedNo+$1.07
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AcontrolsLast tradedNo+$1.98
- AMichael5289Last tradedNo+$1.49
- BoidocropLast tradedNo+$1
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sqwe258Last tradedOver+$0.59
- AArbTraderRookieLast tradedOver+$0.97
- Balex101Last tradedOver+$1.16
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BAnon321321Last tradedNo-$7.31
- BTv12345Last tradedNo+$1.77
- BMonies-For-NuggiesLast tradedNo+$1.38
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALondonBridgeLast tradedDown-$8.08
- Bwhat-would-hayek-doLast tradedUp+$2.49
- B0dx982z6Esv8ssddLast tradedUp+$2.41
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BAnon321321Last tradedNo-$5.07
- BMonies-For-NuggiesLast tradedNo+$3.52
- BotterrLast tradedNo+$2.87
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
- Called
- Shao
- Won
- Shao
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bdawangwang001Last tradedDown+$22.53
- BjustinbeaverLast tradedDown-$18.58
- Bmmrm2Last tradedUp-$4.93
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAvocadosFromMexicoLast tradedYes+$108
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedNo-$540
- BlockrobsterLast tradedYes+$432
- Called
- Eastern Kentucky Colonels
- Won
- Eastern Kentucky Colonels
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedEastern Kentucky Colonels+$14.86
- ScurieLast tradedEastern Kentucky Colonels+$4.99
- AmwenyaLast tradedEastern Kentucky Colonels+$6.73
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDo-Not-RedeemLast tradedNo+$0.71
- AwokerjoesleeperLast tradedNo-$11.41
- Bflow-trader-at-optiverLast tradedNo+$10.36
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo+$1.24
- BpasporLast tradedYes-$8.75
- BNoonienSoongLast tradedNo+$4.94
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder+$22,596.04
- BGamblingIsAllYouNeedLast tradedUnder+$164.65
- BPoissonicLast tradedUnder+$37.72
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedUnder-$16,599.98
- BNoMMS111Last tradedUnder-$1,500
- BBasquetipsterLast tradedUnder-$300
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
- Called
- Sunderland AFC
- Won
- Arsenal FC
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BswisstonyLast tradedSunderland AFC-$8,938.15
- BPoissonicLast tradedArsenal FC+$222.18
- BGamblingIsAllYouNeedLast tradedSunderland AFC-$84.98
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes+$7,456.44
- AAlbert 1953Last tradedYes+$71.48
- ACamelUpLast tradedYes+$1.77
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SJest55Last tradedYes+$7.94
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes+$6,997.27
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedYes+$114.38
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedUnder+$5,500
- BGamblingIsAllYouNeedLast tradedUnder+$562.80
- Btrader901Last tradedUnder+$208.04
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
2,682 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 11,580 more positions across 1,392 markets on this day.