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@zillaman

Expert in

First trade Oct 23, 20250x9ecb…d40dView on PolymarketUpdated 4d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 10th pct
Edge: 6th pct
Win Rate: 86th pct
Consistency: 57th pct
Downside Risk: 17th pct
Track Record: 63rd pct

Volume traded

$3,730,985.94

Predictions

117

Rank

—

Win rate

74.0%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$8,082.53

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

117 total

Market				To win
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes	90.2¢14.6¢	2	$2$0.32	$2.22	-$1.68Timeline
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No	93.0¢—	3	$3$2.11	$3.23	-$0.89Timeline
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No	98.0¢—	3	$3$2.81	$3.06	-$0.19Timeline
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No	94.2¢—	6	$6$5.84	$6.37	-$0.16Timeline
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No	95.3¢—	5	$4.50$4.63	$4.72	+$0.13Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No positionClosed	68.0¢—	1,140	$775—	—	+$248.00Timeline
Iran leadership change by April 30? No positionClosed	61.8¢—	764	$472.10—	—	+$180.41Timeline
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? No positionClosed	54.6¢—	630	$343.88—	—	-$343.88Timeline
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? No positionClosed	65.1¢—	2,120	$1,379.98—	—	-$1,379.98Timeline
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? No positionClosed	83.0¢—	4	$3—	—	-$3.00Timeline