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@wumpyp2

Expert in

First trade Oct 15, 20250x168b…b1d7View on PolymarketUpdated 28d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 30th pct
Edge: 49th pct
Win Rate: 42nd pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 49th pct
Track Record: 30th pct

Volume traded

$119,255.46

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

54.2%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$1,030.81

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-05-01 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

24 total

Market				To win
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? No positionClosed	97.0¢—	2,829	$2,744.33—	—	+$84.88Timeline
Lighter Airdrop on December 30? No positionClosed	86.2¢—	10,969	$9,454.23—	—	+$1,295.36Timeline
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? No positionClosed	47.6¢—	9,450	$4,499.99—	—	-$121.61Timeline
Lighter Airdrop on December 29? No positionClosed	78.3¢—	11,567	$9,056.17—	—	+$1,639.56Timeline
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? No positionClosed	85.0¢—	6,920	$5,882.35—	—	-$1,000.00Timeline
Lighter Airdrop on December 28? No positionClosed	98.1¢—	726	$712.18—	—	+$13.53Timeline
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch? No positionClosed	56.0¢—	1,071	$600—	—	+$264.00Timeline
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch? No positionClosed	28.0¢—	400	$112—	—	-$112.00Timeline
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale? No positionClosed	81.3¢—	6,000	$4,879.97—	—	-$4,879.97Timeline
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale? No positionClosed	33.3¢—	3,000	$1,000—	—	-$1,000.00Timeline