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First trade Feb 19, 20250xb7f5…e8d5View on PolymarketUpdated 104d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 58th pct
Edge: 49th pct
Win Rate: 92nd pct
Consistency: 96th pct
Downside Risk: 51st pct
Track Record: 59th pct

Volume traded

$14,102.14

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

84.6%

Fees charged: $0.27
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.27
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$11.28

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-13 15:20:01 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

97 total

Market				To win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No	93.7¢—	1,420	$1,330.54$1,331.25	$1,420	+$0.71Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No	97.8¢—	58	$56.72$57.22	$58	+$0.49Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? NoClosed	99.9¢$1.00	8	$7.99$8	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? NoClosed	99.9¢$1.00	27	$26.97$27	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? NoClosed	99.5¢$1.00	35	$34.83$35	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? NoClosed	99.6¢$1.00	12	$11.95$12	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No positionClosed	70.8¢—	367	$260—	—	-$1.39Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	1,331	$1,330—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	20	$20—	—	+$0.02Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	12	$12—	—	+$0.01Timeline

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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