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@weopdk

Expert in

First trade Nov 16, 20250x1a16…f468View on PolymarketUpdated 10d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 72nd pct
Edge: 4th pct
Win Rate: 75th pct
Max Drawdown: 64th pct
Consistency: 67th pct
Downside Risk: 67th pct
Track Record: 58th pct

Volume traded

$67,462.82

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

65.5%

Fees charged: $51.49
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $51.49
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $66.77

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 22:49:28 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

87 total

Market				To win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? No positionClosed	98.7¢—	12	$12.17—	—	+$0.16Timeline
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026? No positionClosed	83.9¢—	20	$16.43—	—	+$2.64Timeline
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? No positionClosed	71.8¢—	652	$467.94—	—	-$321.96Timeline
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No positionClosed	79.9¢—	1,550	$1,238.64—	—	-$83.24Timeline
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? No positionClosed	93.3¢—	1,303	$1,215.05—	—	+$1.51Timeline
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17? No positionClosed	79.3¢—	360	$285.46—	—	+$57.51Timeline
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? No positionClosed	95.1¢—	1,220	$1,159.40—	—	+$22.47Timeline
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No positionClosed	64.3¢—	670	$430.83—	—	-$51.21Timeline
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? No positionClosed	47.0¢—	277	$130—	—	-$130.00Timeline
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? No positionClosed	60.8¢—	541	$328.88—	—	-$70.25Timeline