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@warking

Expert in

Category 72%Category 72%Category 72%

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#8255on leaderboard B93.9trader grade-3% edgeDirectional

First trade Dec 27, 20250x371e…b4beView on PolymarketUpdated 2h ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 94th pct
Edge: 15th pct
Win Rate: 48th pct
Max Drawdown: 92nd pct
Consistency: 99th pct
Downside Risk: 81st pct
Track Record: 79th pct

Volume traded

$122,337.50

Predictions

304

Rank

#8,255

Win rate

43.5%

Fees charged: $11.39
Fee refunds: $4.71
Fees paid: $6.68
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $12,254.12

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

324 total

Market				To win
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	7.6¢8.0¢	39	$3$3.14	$39.29	+$0.14Timeline
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No	90.9¢—	21	$18.88$19.87	$20.78	+$0.99Timeline
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes	34.5¢30.5¢	17	$5.80$5.12	$16.79	-$0.68Timeline
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes	40.2¢35.5¢	44	$17.90$15.79	$44.49	-$2.11Timeline
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes	14.0¢2.4¢	7	$1$0.17	$7.14	-$0.83Timeline
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes	49.0¢11.5¢	2	$1.11$0.26	$2.27	-$0.85Timeline
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? NoMergeable	50.0¢81.6¢	15,629	$7,814.49$12,753.24	—	+$4,938.75Timeline
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesMergeable	50.0¢18.4¢	15,629	$7,814.49$2,875.73	—	-$4,938.75Timeline
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) No positionClosed	44.2¢—	2	$1.03—	—	+$1.30Timeline
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) No positionClosed	39.2¢—	3	$1.03—	—	+$1.60Timeline
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) No positionClosed	40.2¢—	3	$1.13—	—	+$1.69Timeline

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Insights

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Hourly Performance

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Performance Breakdown

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Pro analysis

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Comparative benchmarks, profit drivers, entry price analysis, and market preferences.

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@warking

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@warking

Why this trader grades B

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