0 followers

@wakshca

Expert in

First trade Jul 5, 20250xba1a…c091View on PolymarketUpdated 3d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 57th pct
Edge: 92nd pct
Win Rate: 99th pct
Consistency: 71st pct
Downside Risk: 45th pct
Track Record: 66th pct

Volume traded

$25,824.96

Predictions

149

Rank

—

Win rate

97.0%

Fees charged: $0.83
Fee refunds: $0.11
Fees paid: $0.72
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$15.97

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

149 total

Market				To win
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No	91.3¢—	12	$11$11.39	$12.05	+$0.39Timeline
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No	86.5¢—	6	$5.49$5.96	$6.34	+$0.47Timeline
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes	64.8¢13.5¢	7	$4.57$0.95	$7.06	-$3.62Timeline
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No	92.1¢—	6	$5.71$4.56	$6.19	-$1.15Timeline
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026? No positionClosed	90.0¢—	11	$10—	—	+$1.11Timeline
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? No positionClosed	95.0¢—	11	$10—	—	+$0.53Timeline
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch? No positionClosed	97.6¢—	142	$138.25—	—	+$0.02Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? No positionClosed	96.7¢—	6	$6.01—	—	+$0.21Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026? No positionClosed	96.6¢—	8	$8.01—	—	+$0.28Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? No positionClosed	96.9¢—	10	$10.02—	—	+$0.32Timeline